Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros: Betting Trends, Sep 4, 2026 (MLB)
The Houston Astros beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-1 on September 4, 2026. This season the Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the spread in 80 of 153 games (52.3%), and the Houston Astros have covered the spread in 81 of 153 games (52.9%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: ARI 1, HOU 3.
Probable starters: ARI Merrill Kelly, HOU Cristian Javier.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 4, 2026: HOU -1, total 8.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 80 of 153 (52.3%) | 43 of 78 (55.1%) | 37 of 75 (49.3%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Houston Astros | 81 of 153 (52.9%) | 41 of 78 (52.6%) | 40 of 75 (53.3%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ARI 3 | HOU 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | ARI 4 | HOU 3 |
| 2025-07-23 | HOU 4 | ARI 3 |
| 2025-07-22 | HOU 3 | ARI 1 |
| 2025-07-21 | HOU 6 | ARI 3 |
Arizona Diamondbacks: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs MIA | L 3-4 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs MIA | L 2-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs MIA | W 8-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TEX | L 6-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TEX | L 2-6 |
Houston Astros: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs KC | W 6-2 |
| 2026-09-17 | vs KC | L 2-5 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs KC | W 4-2 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TB | L 4-14 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ TB | L 2-3 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
ARI players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 12 of 13 | 92.3% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Ketel Marte | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
HOU players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Peter Lambert | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Ronel Blanco | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 14 of 16 | 87.5% |
Questions about Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros
Who has the better record against the spread, the Arizona Diamondbacks or the Houston Astros?
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered in 80 of 153 games (52.3%) and the Houston Astros in 81 of 153 (52.9%) in the 2026 season, so the Houston Astros have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Houston Astros gone?
Of the last 5 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Houston Astros won 3 and the Arizona Diamondbacks won 2. The most recent was ARI 3, HOU 2 on September 6, 2026.
Which players in Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros clear their prop lines most often?
Hunter Brown has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Peter Lambert has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these ARI at HOU numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every MLB prop graded on this date: MLB player props, September 4, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Arizona Diamondbacks and Houston Astros. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.