Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins: Betting Trends, Sep 25, 2026 (MLB)
The Atlanta Braves visit the Miami Marlins on September 25, 2026. This season the Atlanta Braves have covered the spread in 80 of 152 games (52.6%), and the Miami Marlins have covered the spread in 76 of 153 games (49.7%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 80 of 152 (52.6%) | 42 of 77 (54.5%) | 38 of 75 (50.7%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Miami Marlins | 76 of 153 (49.7%) | 38 of 78 (48.7%) | 38 of 75 (50.7%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | MIA 3 | ATL 11 |
| 2026-08-05 | MIA 1 | ATL 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | MIA 2 | ATL 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | ATL 9 | MIA 3 |
| 2026-05-20 | ATL 9 | MIA 1 |
| 2026-05-19 | ATL 8 | MIA 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | ATL 0 | MIA 12 |
| 2026-04-15 | MIA 3 | ATL 6 |
| 2026-04-14 | MIA 5 | ATL 6 |
| 2026-04-13 | MIA 10 | ATL 4 |
Atlanta Braves: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | @ CHC | L 4-8 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ CHC | W 6-3 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ CHC | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs PHI | L 4-9 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs PHI | W 12-2 |
Miami Marlins: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | @ ARI | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ ARI | W 4-2 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ ARI | L 7-8 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs LAD | W 6-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs LAD | W 4-3 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
ATL players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Tyler Mahle | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Drake Baldwin | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
MIA players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Sanoja | Hits | 1+ hits | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Javier Sanoja | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Eury Perez | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
Questions about Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Who has the better record against the spread, the Atlanta Braves or the Miami Marlins?
The Atlanta Braves have covered in 80 of 152 games (52.6%) and the Miami Marlins in 76 of 153 (49.7%) in the 2026 season, so the Atlanta Braves have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Miami Marlins won 2 and the Atlanta Braves won 8. The most recent was MIA 3, ATL 11 on August 6, 2026.
Which players in Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins clear their prop lines most often?
Chris Sale has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Tyler Mahle has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these ATL at MIA numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.