Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles: Betting Trends, Sep 5, 2026 (MLB)
The Boston Red Sox beat the Baltimore Orioles 5-0 on September 5, 2026. This season the Boston Red Sox have covered the spread in 72 of 153 games (47.1%), and the Baltimore Orioles have covered the spread in 78 of 153 games (51%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: BOS 5, BAL 0.
Probable starters: BOS Sonny Gray, BAL Chris Bassitt.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 5, 2026: BAL +1.5, total 8. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 72 of 153 (47.1%) | 32 of 75 (42.7%) | 40 of 78 (51.3%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Baltimore Orioles | 78 of 153 (51%) | 39 of 75 (52%) | 39 of 78 (50%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | BOS 3 | BAL 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | BOS 1 | BAL 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | BOS 6 | BAL 5 |
| 2026-07-22 | BAL 5 | BOS 1 |
| 2026-07-22 | BAL 3 | BOS 6 |
| 2026-07-20 | BAL 5 | BOS 6 |
| 2026-06-04 | BAL 8 | BOS 2 |
| 2026-06-03 | BAL 1 | BOS 8 |
| 2026-06-02 | BAL 4 | BOS 2 |
| 2026-04-26 | BOS 5 | BAL 3 |
Boston Red Sox: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | @ TEX | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ TEX | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ TEX | L 2-4 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs KC | W 4-1 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs KC | W 5-1 |
Baltimore Orioles: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | @ NYM | W 7-1 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ NYM | W 7-5 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ NYM | W 2-1 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TOR | L 1-8 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ TOR | L 3-7 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
BOS players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Payton Tolle | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Patrick Sandoval | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 11 of 12 | 91.7% |
BAL players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Brandon Young | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Coby Mayo | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
Questions about Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
Who has the better record against the spread, the Boston Red Sox or the Baltimore Orioles?
The Boston Red Sox have covered in 72 of 153 games (47.1%) and the Baltimore Orioles in 78 of 153 (51%) in the 2026 season, so the Baltimore Orioles have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Baltimore Orioles won 3 and the Boston Red Sox won 7. The most recent was BOS 3, BAL 1 on September 6, 2026.
Which players in Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles clear their prop lines most often?
Sonny Gray has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Payton Tolle has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these BOS at BAL numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every MLB prop graded on this date: MLB player props, September 5, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.