Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians: Betting Trends, Sep 16, 2026 (MLB)
The Cleveland Guardians beat the Chicago White Sox 6-3 on September 16, 2026. This season the Chicago White Sox have covered the spread in 88 of 153 games (57.5%), and the Cleveland Guardians have covered the spread in 73 of 153 games (47.7%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: CHW 3, CLE 6.
Probable starters: CHW Anthony Kay, CLE Parker Messick.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 16, 2026: CLE -1.5, total 7. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 88 of 153 (57.5%) | 45 of 75 (60%) | 43 of 78 (55.1%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Cleveland Guardians | 73 of 153 (47.7%) | 32 of 78 (41%) | 41 of 75 (54.7%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | CHW 6 | CLE 7 |
| 2026-09-14 | CHW 7 | CLE 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | CLE 3 | CHW 5 |
| 2026-08-08 | CLE 3 | CHW 6 |
| 2026-08-07 | CLE 8 | CHW 2 |
| 2026-07-05 | CHW 7 | CLE 6 |
| 2026-07-04 | CHW 3 | CLE 1 |
| 2026-07-03 | CHW 3 | CLE 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | CHW 5 | CLE 6 |
| 2026-06-24 | CLE 4 | CHW 3 |
Chicago White Sox: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs DET | W 3-1 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ CLE | L 3-6 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ CLE | L 6-7 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ CLE | W 7-3 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ STL | L 1-3 |
Cleveland Guardians: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | vs CHW | W 6-3 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs CHW | W 7-6 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CHW | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | W 9-2 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ MIN | L 3-4 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
CHW players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Anthony Kay | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 16 of 20 | 80% |
| Luis Castillo | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 16 of 20 | 80% |
CLE players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Parker Messick | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Luis Ortiz | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 15 of 16 | 93.8% |
Questions about Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Who has the better record against the spread, the Chicago White Sox or the Cleveland Guardians?
The Chicago White Sox have covered in 88 of 153 games (57.5%) and the Cleveland Guardians in 73 of 153 (47.7%) in the 2026 season, so the Chicago White Sox have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Guardians gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Cleveland Guardians won 5 and the Chicago White Sox won 5. The most recent was CHW 6, CLE 7 on September 15, 2026.
Which players in Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians clear their prop lines most often?
Gavin Williams has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Parker Messick has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these CHW at CLE numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.