Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox: Betting Trends, Sep 23, 2026 (MLB)
The Cleveland Guardians visit the Boston Red Sox on September 23, 2026. This season the Cleveland Guardians have covered the spread in 73 of 153 games (47.7%), and the Boston Red Sox have covered the spread in 72 of 153 games (47.1%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 73 of 153 (47.7%) | 32 of 78 (41%) | 41 of 75 (54.7%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Boston Red Sox | 72 of 153 (47.1%) | 32 of 75 (42.7%) | 40 of 78 (51.3%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | BOS 9 | CLE 4 |
| 2026-05-30 | BOS 9 | CLE 1 |
| 2026-05-29 | BOS 3 | CLE 4 |
| 2025-09-03 | CLE 8 | BOS 1 |
| 2025-09-02 | CLE 7 | BOS 11 |
| 2025-09-01 | CLE 4 | BOS 6 |
| 2025-04-27 | BOS 13 | CLE 3 |
| 2025-04-26 | BOS 7 | CLE 3 |
| 2025-04-26 | BOS 4 | CLE 5 |
Cleveland Guardians: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | vs CHW | W 6-3 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs CHW | W 7-6 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CHW | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | W 9-2 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ MIN | L 3-4 |
Boston Red Sox: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | @ TEX | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ TEX | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ TEX | L 2-4 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs KC | W 4-1 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs KC | W 5-1 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
CLE players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Parker Messick | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Luis Ortiz | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 15 of 16 | 93.8% |
BOS players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Payton Tolle | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Patrick Sandoval | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 11 of 12 | 91.7% |
Questions about Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox
Who has the better record against the spread, the Cleveland Guardians or the Boston Red Sox?
The Cleveland Guardians have covered in 73 of 153 games (47.7%) and the Boston Red Sox in 72 of 153 (47.1%) in the 2026 season, so the Cleveland Guardians have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Cleveland Guardians and the Boston Red Sox gone?
Of the last 9 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Boston Red Sox won 6 and the Cleveland Guardians won 3. The most recent was BOS 9, CLE 4 on May 31, 2026.
Which players in Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox clear their prop lines most often?
Gavin Williams has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Sonny Gray has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these CLE at BOS numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.