Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals: Betting Trends, Sep 26, 2026 (MLB)
The Cleveland Guardians visit the Kansas City Royals on September 26, 2026. This season the Cleveland Guardians have covered the spread in 74 of 154 games (48.1%), and the Kansas City Royals have covered the spread in 76 of 154 games (49.4%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 19, 2026.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 74 of 154 (48.1%) | 33 of 79 (41.8%) | 41 of 75 (54.7%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Kansas City Royals | 76 of 154 (49.4%) | 40 of 75 (53.3%) | 36 of 79 (45.6%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | KC 1 | CLE 11 |
| 2026-08-29 | KC 8 | CLE 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | KC 3 | CLE 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | CLE 8 | KC 5 |
| 2026-05-06 | CLE 3 | KC 1 |
| 2026-05-05 | CLE 3 | KC 5 |
| 2026-05-04 | CLE 2 | KC 6 |
| 2026-04-08 | KC 2 | CLE 10 |
| 2026-04-07 | KC 1 | CLE 2 |
| 2026-04-06 | KC 4 | CLE 2 |
Cleveland Guardians: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | vs OAK | W 5-3 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs CHW | W 6-3 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs CHW | W 7-6 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CHW | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | W 9-2 |
Kansas City Royals: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | @ PIT | L 5-8 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ HOU | L 2-6 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ HOU | W 5-2 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ HOU | L 2-4 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ BOS | L 1-4 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
CLE players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Parker Messick | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Joey Cantillo | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
KC players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Jensen | Hits | 1+ hits | 16 of 20 | 80% |
| Carter Jensen | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 16 of 20 | 80% |
| Michael Wacha | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 16 of 20 | 80% |
Questions about Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Who has the better record against the spread, the Cleveland Guardians or the Kansas City Royals?
The Cleveland Guardians have covered in 74 of 154 games (48.1%) and the Kansas City Royals in 76 of 154 (49.4%) in the 2026 season, so the Kansas City Royals have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Cleveland Guardians and the Kansas City Royals gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Kansas City Royals won 5 and the Cleveland Guardians won 5. The most recent was KC 1, CLE 11 on August 30, 2026.
Which players in Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals clear their prop lines most often?
Gavin Williams has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Parker Messick has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these CLE at KC numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 19, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every MLB prop graded on this date: MLB player props, September 26, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.