Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins: Betting Trends, Sep 12, 2026 (MLB)
The Minnesota Twins beat the Cleveland Guardians 4-3 on September 12, 2026. This season the Cleveland Guardians have covered the spread in 73 of 153 games (47.7%), and the Minnesota Twins have covered the spread in 79 of 153 games (51.6%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: CLE 3, MIN 4.
Probable starters: CLE Daniel Espino, MIN Connor Prielipp.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 12, 2026: MIN +1.5, total 8.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 73 of 153 (47.7%) | 32 of 78 (41%) | 41 of 75 (54.7%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Minnesota Twins | 79 of 153 (51.6%) | 39 of 78 (50%) | 40 of 75 (53.3%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | CLE 9 | MIN 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | CLE 5 | MIN 2 |
| 2026-07-23 | MIN 3 | CLE 1 |
| 2026-07-22 | MIN 10 | CLE 6 |
| 2026-07-21 | MIN 2 | CLE 5 |
| 2026-07-20 | MIN 4 | CLE 13 |
| 2026-07-09 | CLE 5 | MIN 2 |
| 2026-07-08 | CLE 5 | MIN 6 |
| 2026-07-07 | CLE 1 | MIN 3 |
| 2026-05-10 | MIN 5 | CLE 4 |
Cleveland Guardians: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | vs CHW | W 6-3 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs CHW | W 7-6 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CHW | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | W 9-2 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ MIN | L 3-4 |
Minnesota Twins: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | @ LAA | L 4-5 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs NYY | W 5-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs NYY | L 1-8 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs NYY | L 3-8 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CLE | L 2-9 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
CLE players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Parker Messick | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Luis Ortiz | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 15 of 16 | 93.8% |
MIN players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Joe Ryan | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Connor Prielipp | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 17 of 20 | 85% |
Questions about Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
Who has the better record against the spread, the Cleveland Guardians or the Minnesota Twins?
The Cleveland Guardians have covered in 73 of 153 games (47.7%) and the Minnesota Twins in 79 of 153 (51.6%) in the 2026 season, so the Minnesota Twins have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Minnesota Twins won 5 and the Cleveland Guardians won 5. The most recent was CLE 9, MIN 2 on September 13, 2026.
Which players in Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins clear their prop lines most often?
Gavin Williams has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Parker Messick has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these CLE at MIN numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.