Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians: Betting Trends, Sep 4, 2026 (MLB)
The Cleveland Guardians beat the Detroit Tigers 7-6 on September 4, 2026. This season the Detroit Tigers have covered the spread in 80 of 153 games (52.3%), and the Cleveland Guardians have covered the spread in 73 of 153 games (47.7%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: DET 6, CLE 7.
Probable starters: DET Keider Montero, CLE Logan Allen.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 4, 2026: CLE -1.5, total 8. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | 80 of 153 (52.3%) | 40 of 75 (53.3%) | 40 of 78 (51.3%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Cleveland Guardians | 73 of 153 (47.7%) | 32 of 78 (41%) | 41 of 75 (54.7%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | DET 2 | CLE 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | DET 6 | CLE 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | DET 3 | CLE 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | CLE 0 | DET 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | CLE 6 | DET 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | CLE 4 | DET 6 |
| 2026-06-13 | DET 1 | CLE 3 |
| 2026-06-12 | DET 2 | CLE 3 |
| 2026-05-21 | CLE 3 | DET 1 |
| 2026-05-20 | CLE 3 | DET 2 |
Detroit Tigers: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | @ CHW | L 1-3 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ TOR | L 1-5 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ TOR | W 10-1 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ TOR | W 6-5 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs COL | W 8-1 |
Cleveland Guardians: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | vs CHW | W 6-3 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs CHW | W 7-6 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CHW | L 3-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | W 9-2 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ MIN | L 3-4 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
DET players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Melton | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Jackson Jobe | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 15 of 17 | 88.2% |
| Tomas Nido | Hits | 1+ hits | 8 of 10 | 80% |
CLE players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Parker Messick | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Luis Ortiz | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 15 of 16 | 93.8% |
Questions about Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians
Who has the better record against the spread, the Detroit Tigers or the Cleveland Guardians?
The Detroit Tigers have covered in 80 of 153 games (52.3%) and the Cleveland Guardians in 73 of 153 (47.7%) in the 2026 season, so the Detroit Tigers have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Cleveland Guardians won 7 and the Detroit Tigers won 3. The most recent was DET 2, CLE 3 on September 6, 2026.
Which players in Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians clear their prop lines most often?
Gavin Williams has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Troy Melton has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these DET at CLE numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every MLB prop graded on this date: MLB player props, September 4, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.