Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks: Betting Trends, Sep 15, 2026 (MLB)
The Miami Marlins beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 4-2 on September 15, 2026. This season the Miami Marlins have covered the spread in 76 of 153 games (49.7%), and the Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the spread in 80 of 153 games (52.3%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: MIA 4, ARI 2.
Probable starters: MIA Janson Junk, ARI Michael Soroka.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 15, 2026: ARI -1.5, total 8.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 76 of 153 (49.7%) | 38 of 78 (48.7%) | 38 of 75 (50.7%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 80 of 153 (52.3%) | 43 of 78 (55.1%) | 37 of 75 (49.3%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | MIA 4 | ARI 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | MIA 7 | ARI 8 |
| 2026-06-11 | ARI 0 | MIA 2 |
| 2026-06-10 | ARI 0 | MIA 8 |
| 2026-06-09 | ARI 6 | MIA 10 |
| 2025-06-29 | MIA 6 | ARI 4 |
| 2025-06-28 | MIA 8 | ARI 7 |
| 2025-06-27 | MIA 9 | ARI 8 |
| 2025-04-17 | ARI 6 | MIA 4 |
| 2025-04-16 | ARI 6 | MIA 2 |
Miami Marlins: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | @ ARI | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ ARI | W 4-2 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ ARI | L 7-8 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs LAD | W 6-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs LAD | W 4-3 |
Arizona Diamondbacks: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs MIA | L 3-4 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs MIA | L 2-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs MIA | W 8-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TEX | L 6-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TEX | L 2-6 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
MIA players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Sanoja | Hits | 1+ hits | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Javier Sanoja | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Eury Perez | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
ARI players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 12 of 13 | 92.3% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Ketel Marte | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
Questions about Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks
Who has the better record against the spread, the Miami Marlins or the Arizona Diamondbacks?
The Miami Marlins have covered in 76 of 153 games (49.7%) and the Arizona Diamondbacks in 80 of 153 (52.3%) in the 2026 season, so the Arizona Diamondbacks have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Miami Marlins and the Arizona Diamondbacks gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Arizona Diamondbacks won 3 and the Miami Marlins won 7. The most recent was MIA 4, ARI 3 on September 16, 2026.
Which players in Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks clear their prop lines most often?
Corbin Burnes has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 games (92.3%); Javier Sanoja has cleared 1+ hits in 18 of his last 20 games (90%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these MIA at ARI numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.