Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs: Betting Trends, Sep 22, 2026 (MLB)
The Miami Marlins visit the Chicago Cubs on September 22, 2026. This season the Miami Marlins have covered the spread in 76 of 153 games (49.7%), and the Chicago Cubs have covered the spread in 70 of 152 games (46.1%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 76 of 153 (49.7%) | 38 of 78 (48.7%) | 38 of 75 (50.7%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Chicago Cubs | 70 of 152 (46.1%) | 32 of 78 (41%) | 38 of 74 (51.4%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | CHC 3 | MIA 10 |
| 2026-09-05 | CHC 6 | MIA 5 |
| 2026-09-04 | CHC 6 | MIA 1 |
| 2025-05-21 | CHC 2 | MIA 1 |
| 2025-05-20 | CHC 14 | MIA 1 |
| 2025-05-19 | CHC 7 | MIA 8 |
| 2025-05-14 | MIA 3 | CHC 1 |
| 2025-05-13 | MIA 4 | CHC 5 |
| 2025-05-12 | MIA 2 | CHC 5 |
Miami Marlins: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | @ ARI | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ ARI | W 4-2 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ ARI | L 7-8 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs LAD | W 6-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs LAD | W 4-3 |
Chicago Cubs: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | vs ATL | W 8-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs ATL | L 3-6 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs ATL | W 7-3 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs PIT | L 3-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs PIT | W 4-3 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
MIA players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Sanoja | Hits | 1+ hits | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Javier Sanoja | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Eury Perez | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
CHC players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Shota Imanaga | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Matthew Boyd | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
Questions about Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs
Who has the better record against the spread, the Miami Marlins or the Chicago Cubs?
The Miami Marlins have covered in 76 of 153 games (49.7%) and the Chicago Cubs in 70 of 152 (46.1%) in the 2026 season, so the Miami Marlins have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Miami Marlins and the Chicago Cubs gone?
Of the last 9 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Chicago Cubs won 6 and the Miami Marlins won 3. The most recent was CHC 3, MIA 10 on September 6, 2026.
Which players in Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs clear their prop lines most often?
Kevin Gausman has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%); Shota Imanaga has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these MIA at CHC numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.