Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Betting Trends, Sep 15, 2026 (MLB)
The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-1 on September 15, 2026. This season the Milwaukee Brewers have covered the spread in 80 of 153 games (52.3%), and the Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the spread in 75 of 153 games (49%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: MIL 5, PIT 1.
Probable starters: MIL Jacob Misiorowski, PIT Lake Bachar.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 15, 2026: PIT +2, total 7.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 80 of 153 (52.3%) | 43 of 78 (55.1%) | 37 of 75 (49.3%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 75 of 153 (49%) | 35 of 75 (46.7%) | 40 of 78 (51.3%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | MIL 4 | PIT 7 |
| 2026-09-16 | MIL 5 | PIT 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | PIT 2 | MIL 5 |
| 2026-08-05 | PIT 2 | MIL 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | PIT 2 | MIL 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | PIT 4 | MIL 3 |
| 2026-07-12 | MIL 5 | PIT 14 |
| 2026-07-11 | MIL 2 | PIT 3 |
| 2026-07-11 | MIL 6 | PIT 7 |
| 2026-04-26 | PIT 0 | MIL 5 |
Milwaukee Brewers: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | @ PIT | L 4-7 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ PIT | W 5-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ PIT | W 5-1 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CIN | L 3-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs CIN | W 13-9 |
Pittsburgh Pirates: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs MIL | W 7-4 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs MIL | L 4-5 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs MIL | L 1-5 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CHC | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ CHC | L 3-4 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
MIL players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Logan Henderson | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Robert Gasser | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
PIT players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Jones | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 19 | 100% |
| Paul Skenes | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Bubba Chandler | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
Questions about Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Who has the better record against the spread, the Milwaukee Brewers or the Pittsburgh Pirates?
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered in 80 of 153 games (52.3%) and the Pittsburgh Pirates in 75 of 153 (49%) in the 2026 season, so the Milwaukee Brewers have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Pittsburgh Pirates won 5 and the Milwaukee Brewers won 5. The most recent was MIL 4, PIT 7 on September 17, 2026.
Which players in Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates clear their prop lines most often?
Jacob Misiorowski has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Logan Henderson has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these MIL at PIT numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.