New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays: Betting Trends, Sep 2, 2026 (MLB)
The New York Mets beat the Tampa Bay Rays 10-4 on September 2, 2026. This season the New York Mets have covered the spread in 70 of 152 games (46.1%), and the Tampa Bay Rays have covered the spread in 83 of 152 games (54.6%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: NYM 10, TB 4.
Probable starters: NYM Justin Hagenman, TB Griffin Jax.
The posted line
At williamhill_us as of September 2, 2026: TB -1.5, total 8. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 70 of 152 (46.1%) | 34 of 77 (44.2%) | 36 of 75 (48%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 83 of 152 (54.6%) | 41 of 78 (52.6%) | 42 of 74 (56.8%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | NYM 2 | TB 6 |
| 2026-08-31 | NYM 3 | TB 2 |
| 2025-06-15 | TB 9 | NYM 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | TB 8 | NYM 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | TB 7 | NYM 5 |
New York Mets: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs PHI | L 0-3 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs BAL | L 1-7 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs BAL | L 5-7 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs BAL | L 1-2 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYY | L 0-2 |
Tampa Bay Rays: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs OAK | W 10-1 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs OAK | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs OAK | W 2-1 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs HOU | W 14-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs HOU | W 3-2 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
NYM players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan McLean | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Christian Scott | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Sean Manaea | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
TB players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Ian Seymour | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 17 of 20 | 85% |
| Griffin Jax | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 16 of 20 | 80% |
Questions about New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays
Who has the better record against the spread, the New York Mets or the Tampa Bay Rays?
The New York Mets have covered in 70 of 152 games (46.1%) and the Tampa Bay Rays in 83 of 152 (54.6%) in the 2026 season, so the Tampa Bay Rays have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the New York Mets and the Tampa Bay Rays gone?
Of the last 5 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Tampa Bay Rays won 4 and the New York Mets won 1. The most recent was NYM 2, TB 6 on September 1, 2026.
Which players in New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays clear their prop lines most often?
Nolan McLean has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%); Christian Scott has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these NYM at TB numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every MLB prop graded on this date: MLB player props, September 2, 2026. Both teams' full pages: New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.