New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins: Betting Trends, Sep 16, 2026 (MLB)
The Minnesota Twins beat the New York Yankees 5-4 on September 16, 2026. This season the New York Yankees have covered the spread in 78 of 152 games (51.3%), and the Minnesota Twins have covered the spread in 79 of 153 games (51.6%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: NYY 4, MIN 5.
Probable starters: NYY Carlos Rodón, MIN Zebby Matthews.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 16, 2026: MIN +1.5, total 8. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 78 of 152 (51.3%) | 37 of 74 (50%) | 41 of 78 (52.6%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Minnesota Twins | 79 of 153 (51.6%) | 39 of 78 (50%) | 40 of 75 (53.3%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | NYY 8 | MIN 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | NYY 8 | MIN 3 |
| 2026-07-05 | MIN 6 | NYY 1 |
| 2026-07-04 | MIN 11 | NYY 4 |
| 2026-07-03 | MIN 2 | NYY 5 |
| 2025-09-17 | NYY 10 | MIN 5 |
| 2025-09-16 | NYY 10 | MIN 9 |
| 2025-09-15 | NYY 0 | MIN 7 |
| 2025-08-13 | MIN 4 | NYY 1 |
| 2025-08-12 | MIN 1 | NYY 9 |
New York Yankees: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | @ MIN | L 4-5 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ MIN | W 8-1 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ MIN | W 8-3 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYM | W 2-0 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs NYM | L 2-12 |
Minnesota Twins: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | @ LAA | L 4-5 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs NYY | W 5-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs NYY | L 1-8 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs NYY | L 3-8 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CLE | L 2-9 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
NYY players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Gerrit Cole | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Carlos Rodon | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
MIN players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Joe Ryan | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Connor Prielipp | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 17 of 20 | 85% |
Questions about New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins
Who has the better record against the spread, the New York Yankees or the Minnesota Twins?
The New York Yankees have covered in 78 of 152 games (51.3%) and the Minnesota Twins in 79 of 153 (51.6%) in the 2026 season, so the Minnesota Twins have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Minnesota Twins won 4 and the New York Yankees won 6. The most recent was NYY 8, MIN 1 on September 15, 2026.
Which players in New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins clear their prop lines most often?
Cam Schlittler has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Taj Bradley has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these NYY at MIN numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.