Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves: Betting Trends, Sep 29, 2026 (MLB)
The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Atlanta Braves on September 29, 2026. This season the Philadelphia Phillies have covered the spread in 70 of 162 games (43.2%), and the Atlanta Braves have covered the spread in 84 of 161 games (52.2%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 28, 2026.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 28, 2026: ATL -1.5, total 6.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 70 of 162 (43.2%) | 34 of 81 (42%) | 36 of 81 (44.4%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Atlanta Braves | 84 of 161 (52.2%) | 42 of 80 (52.5%) | 42 of 81 (51.9%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | PHI 9 | ATL 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | PHI 2 | ATL 12 |
| 2026-09-11 | PHI 5 | ATL 6 |
| 2026-09-07 | ATL 0 | PHI 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | ATL 5 | PHI 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | ATL 2 | PHI 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | ATL 5 | PHI 2 |
| 2026-04-26 | PHI 2 | ATL 6 |
| 2026-04-25 | PHI 8 | ATL 5 |
| 2026-04-24 | PHI 3 | ATL 5 |
Philadelphia Phillies: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | vs TB | W 7-3 |
| 2026-09-26 | vs TB | L 1-12 |
| 2026-09-25 | vs TB | L 0-2 |
| 2026-09-24 | vs MIL | L 1-5 |
| 2026-09-23 | vs MIL | L 1-4 |
Atlanta Braves: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | L 3-5 |
| 2026-09-26 | @ MIA | W 8-3 |
| 2026-09-25 | @ MIA | L 0-3 |
| 2026-09-24 | vs CIN | L 6-7 |
| 2026-09-23 | vs CIN | W 3-2 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
PHI players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Aaron Nola | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
ATL players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Tyler Mahle | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Drake Baldwin | Hits | 1+ hits | 16 of 20 | 80% |
Questions about Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Who has the better record against the spread, the Philadelphia Phillies or the Atlanta Braves?
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered in 70 of 162 games (43.2%) and the Atlanta Braves in 84 of 161 (52.2%) in the 2026 season, so the Atlanta Braves have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Atlanta Braves won 6 and the Philadelphia Phillies won 4. The most recent was PHI 9, ATL 4 on September 13, 2026.
Which players in Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves clear their prop lines most often?
Zack Wheeler has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Chris Sale has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these PHI at ATL numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 28, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every MLB prop graded on this date: MLB player props, September 29, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.