Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs: Betting Trends, Sep 11, 2026 (MLB)
The Chicago Cubs beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 12-2 on September 11, 2026. This season the Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the spread in 75 of 153 games (49%), and the Chicago Cubs have covered the spread in 70 of 152 games (46.1%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: PIT 2, CHC 12.
Probable starters: PIT Wilber Dotel, CHC Shota Imanaga.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 11, 2026: CHC -1.5, total 8.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 75 of 153 (49%) | 35 of 75 (46.7%) | 40 of 78 (51.3%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Chicago Cubs | 70 of 152 (46.1%) | 32 of 78 (41%) | 38 of 74 (51.4%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | PIT 4 | CHC 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | PIT 3 | CHC 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | CHC 7 | PIT 8 |
| 2026-07-25 | CHC 11 | PIT 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | CHC 3 | PIT 2 |
| 2026-05-28 | CHC 7 | PIT 2 |
| 2026-05-27 | CHC 10 | PIT 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | CHC 1 | PIT 12 |
| 2026-05-25 | CHC 1 | PIT 2 |
| 2026-04-12 | PIT 6 | CHC 7 |
Pittsburgh Pirates: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | vs MIL | W 7-4 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs MIL | L 4-5 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs MIL | L 1-5 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CHC | W 4-3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ CHC | L 3-4 |
Chicago Cubs: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | vs ATL | W 8-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs ATL | L 3-6 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs ATL | W 7-3 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs PIT | L 3-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs PIT | W 4-3 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
PIT players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Jones | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 19 | 100% |
| Paul Skenes | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Bubba Chandler | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
CHC players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Shota Imanaga | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Matthew Boyd | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
Questions about Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Who has the better record against the spread, the Pittsburgh Pirates or the Chicago Cubs?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered in 75 of 153 games (49%) and the Chicago Cubs in 70 of 152 (46.1%) in the 2026 season, so the Pittsburgh Pirates have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Chicago Cubs won 6 and the Pittsburgh Pirates won 4. The most recent was PIT 4, CHC 3 on September 13, 2026.
Which players in Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs clear their prop lines most often?
Jared Jones has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 19 games (100%); Kevin Gausman has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these PIT at CHC numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.