San Diego Padres Betting Trends and Prop Hit Rates (MLB)
The San Diego Padres have covered the spread in 86 of 153 games (56.2%) in the 2026 season. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
San Diego Padres against the spread, 2026 season
Covered in 86 of 153 games (56.2%). A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread.
| Split | Covers | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 86 of 153 | 56.2% |
| Home | 42 of 75 | 56% |
| Road | 44 of 78 | 56.4% |
| Last 10 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | @ COL | W 9-2 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ COL | W 9-3 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ COL | L 3-9 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ COL | W 8-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ SF | W 6-4 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ SF | W 7-6 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ SF | W 7-5 |
| 2026-09-09 | vs WSH | W 9-2 |
| 2026-09-09 | vs WSH | W 5-4 |
| 2026-09-07 | vs WSH | W 3-2 |
SD players clearing their prop lines most often
Over each player's last 20 games, the SD players with the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | Hits | 1+ hits | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Hits | 1+ hits | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Samad Taylor | Hits | 1+ hits | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Dustin Harris | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 13 of 18 | 72.2% |
| Jackson Merrill | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Home Runs | 1+ home runs | 5 of 20 | 25% |
| Manny Machado | Home Runs | 1+ home runs | 4 of 20 | 20% |
| Jackson Merrill | Home Runs | 1+ home runs | 3 of 20 | 15% |
| Jackson Merrill | RBIs | 1+ RBIs | 10 of 20 | 50% |
| Manny Machado | RBIs | 1+ RBIs | 9 of 20 | 45% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | RBIs | 1+ RBIs | 8 of 20 | 40% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Runs Scored | 1+ runs | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Manny Machado | Runs Scored | 1+ runs | 12 of 20 | 60% |
| Jackson Merrill | Runs Scored | 1+ runs | 10 of 20 | 50% |
| Nick Pivetta | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Michael King | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Robbie Ray | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 17 of 20 | 85% |
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line, over that player's last 20 games. Nothing here is a projection.
The live version, with every team and tonight's lines, is the MLB ATS Radar; the team's full profile, schedule and matchup tools are in San Diego Padres in the app. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.