San Diego Padres Betting Trends and Prop Hit Rates (MLB)
The San Diego Padres have covered the spread in 94 of 166 games (56.6%) in the 2026 season. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated November 3, 2026.
San Diego Padres against the spread, 2026 season
Covered in 94 of 166 games (56.6%). A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread.
| Split | Covers | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 94 of 166 | 56.6% |
| Home | 46 of 83 | 55.4% |
| Road | 48 of 83 | 57.8% |
| Last 10 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | vs ARI | W 9-4 |
| 2026-09-26 | vs ARI | W 10-7 |
| 2026-09-25 | vs ARI | L 4-11 |
| 2026-09-24 | @ LAD | W 4-2 |
| 2026-09-23 | @ LAD | W 5-1 |
| 2026-09-22 | @ LAD | L 0-7 |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIA | W 7-3 |
| 2026-09-19 | vs MIA | W 7-6 |
| 2026-09-18 | vs MIA | W 8-2 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ COL | W 9-2 |
SD players clearing their prop lines most often
Over each player's last 20 games, the SD players with the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Hits | 1+ hits | 15 of 20 | 75% |
| Xander Bogaerts | Hits | 1+ hits | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Jackson Merrill | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 17 of 20 | 85% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 15 of 20 | 75% |
| Xander Bogaerts | Total Bases | 1+ total bases | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Home Runs | 1+ home runs | 7 of 20 | 35% |
| Manny Machado | Home Runs | 1+ home runs | 5 of 20 | 25% |
| Gavin Sheets | Home Runs | 1+ home runs | 4 of 20 | 20% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | RBIs | 1+ RBIs | 12 of 20 | 60% |
| Jake Cronenworth | RBIs | 1+ RBIs | 9 of 20 | 45% |
| Manny Machado | RBIs | 1+ RBIs | 8 of 20 | 40% |
| Xander Bogaerts | Runs Scored | 1+ runs | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Runs Scored | 1+ runs | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Jackson Merrill | Runs Scored | 1+ runs | 11 of 20 | 55% |
| Nick Pivetta | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Michael King | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Yu Darvish | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 13 of 16 | 81.2% |
Questions about the San Diego Padres
How often have the San Diego Padres covered the spread this season?
The San Diego Padres have covered in 94 of 166 games (56.6%) in the 2026 season: 46 of 83 at home and 48 of 83 on the road, 7 of 10 over the last 10. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
How have the San Diego Padres done in their last 10 games?
8-2 over the last 10 regular-season games, most recently a win 9-4 against ARI on September 27, 2026.
Which SD player clears his prop line most often?
Jackson Merrill has cleared 1+ hits in 17 of his last 20 games (85%), the highest rate on the San Diego Padres at the lowest posted rung of any market over the last 20 games.
Are these San Diego Padres numbers picks?
No. Each figure is a count of settled games, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened this season. Updated November 3, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line, over that player's last 20 games. Nothing here is a projection.
The live version, with every team and tonight's lines, is the MLB ATS Radar; the team's full profile, schedule and matchup tools are in San Diego Padres in the app. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.