← NBA player prop hit rates

NBA Player Props, October 27, 2026: How the Posted Lines Cleared

NBA · October 27, 2026 · graded market outcomes

On October 27, 2026, the over cleared the posted line in 3,686 of 9,442 graded NBA player props (39%) across 10 markets and 4 games. Every figure is a count of graded market outcomes, not a record of anyone's picks. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 28, 2026.

By market

Every graded over on the day, at every line any book posted. A prop clears when the player's box-score number finishes above the line; pushes and voids are left out. Each market links to its 90-day research page.

MarketGraded oversClearedRatePlayers
points1,93070636.6%62
points + rebounds + assists1,74075943.6%60
points + rebounds1,43867947.2%61
points + assists1,16655347.4%60
rebounds80527033.5%61
rebounds + assists80432440.3%60
assists67319629.1%60
three-pointers made40112230.4%57
steals2764114.9%59
blocks2093617.2%57

The day's games

Players whose posted lines cleared most

Graded overs across every market and every posted line for the player that day, ranked by the number that cleared. A count of one day's outcomes, not a rating.

PlayerCleared
Michael Porter Jr.191 of 289
Luka Dončić180 of 320
Mikel Brown Jr.151 of 192
Karl-Anthony Towns124 of 192
Jayson Tatum123 of 197
Nolan Traoré110 of 224
Robert Williams III107 of 165
Julius Randle103 of 179
Domantas Sabonis99 of 185
Paul Reed98 of 175

Questions

How often did NBA player prop overs clear on October 27, 2026?

In 3,686 of 9,442 graded overs (39%), at every line any book posted across 10 markets. A count of that day's graded outcomes, not a prediction.

Which NBA market cleared most often that day?

Points + assists: 553 of 1,166 graded overs (47.4%). The lowest was steals: 41 of 276 (14.9%). Higher lines clear less often by construction, so a market's rate depends on the lines the books chose to post.

Are these DataStreak picks?

No. Every row is a market outcome: a prop line a sportsbook posted, graded off the official box score by the data vendor, counted whether or not anyone bet it. DataStreak does not produce picks and this page is not a record of any.

How this is measured

The data vendor grades every player prop line a sportsbook posted against the official box score: over, under, push or void. This page counts the OVER side of every graded NBA line for games on this ET date, at every line any book posted, whether or not anyone bet it. Pushes and voids are excluded from both counts. No selection of DataStreak's is involved: this describes the market on one day, not anyone's picks. A rate is an outcome frequency at posted lines, never a probability for another day.

The 90-day view of each market is on its research page (linked in the table); every player at a glance is on the NBA player prop hit rates hub; the live board with tonight's lines is the NBA Hit Rate Sheets; the boards are explained in the methodology.