Aaron Nesmith Prop Hit Rates (NBA)
Aaron Nesmith has cleared 5+ points in 18 of his last 20 games (90%). Every figure on this page is a count of graded games over his last 20, shown beside the games it comes from. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 17, 2026.
Aaron Nesmith Points: how often each line was cleared
| 5+ points | 10+ points | 15+ points | 20+ points | 25+ points | 30+ points | 35+ points | 40+ points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
Aaron Nesmith Rebounds: how often each line was cleared
| 4+ rebounds | 6+ rebounds | 8+ rebounds | 10+ rebounds | 12+ rebounds | 15+ rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
Aaron Nesmith Assists: how often each line was cleared
| 2+ assists | 4+ assists | 6+ assists | 8+ assists | 10+ assists | 12+ assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45% 9 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
Aaron Nesmith Three-Pointers Made: how often each line was cleared
| 1+ three-pointers | 2+ three-pointers | 3+ three-pointers | 4+ three-pointers | 5+ three-pointers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% 18 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
Last 20 games
| Date | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 26 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | vs LAL | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-03-23 | @ ORL | 19 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ SAS | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-03-18 | vs POR | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-03-17 | @ NYK | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ MIL | 32 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 2026-03-13 | vs NYK | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-03-10 | @ SAC | 29 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ POR | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ LAL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-03-04 | @ LAC | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ WAS | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | @ NYK | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ TOR | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ MIL | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs HOU | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs ATL | 23 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs CHI | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ ATL | 18 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Questions about Aaron Nesmith's prop hit rates
How often has Aaron Nesmith cleared 5+ points?
Aaron Nesmith has cleared 5+ points in 18 of his last 20 NBA games (90%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 10+ points it is 14 of 20 (70%). Updated October 17, 2026.
How often has Aaron Nesmith cleared 4+ rebounds?
Aaron Nesmith has cleared 4+ rebounds in 5 of his last 20 NBA games (25%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 6+ rebounds it is 3 of 20 (15%). Updated October 17, 2026.
How often has Aaron Nesmith cleared 2+ assists?
Aaron Nesmith has cleared 2+ assists in 9 of his last 20 NBA games (45%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 4+ assists it is 2 of 20 (10%). Updated October 17, 2026.
How often has Aaron Nesmith cleared 1+ three-pointers?
Aaron Nesmith has cleared 1+ three-pointers in 18 of his last 20 NBA games (90%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 2+ three-pointers it is 11 of 20 (55%). Updated October 17, 2026.
Are Aaron Nesmith's hit rates picks?
No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.
How are Aaron Nesmith's prop hit rates measured?
From his graded game logs over his last 20 games. A line is cleared in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample for a rate to be published.
How these rates are measured
A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games with a value for the stat, listed in the table above so the arithmetic is checkable. Posted sportsbook lines are not used to compute the ladder. Where a closing line is shown, it is the main line the books had posted at close for that game (the rung priced closest to even at each book, the most common one across books), and the count against it leaves out games that landed on the line.
For tonight's posted lines and the live, filterable board, see NBA Hit Rate Sheets; for the full profile, charts and matchup tools, open Aaron Nesmith in the app. IND betting trends and prop hit rates. Every NBA player at a glance: NBA player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.