Miami Heat Betting Trends and Prop Hit Rates (NBA)
The Miami Heat have covered the spread in 47 of 83 games (57.3%) in the 2025-26 season. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Miami Heat against the spread, 2025-26 season
Covered in 47 of 83 games (57.3%), with 1 push. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread.
| Split | Covers | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 47 of 83 | 56.6% |
| Home | 23 of 41 | 56.1% |
| Road | 24 of 42 | 57.1% |
| Last 10 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | @ CHA | L 126-127 |
| 2026-04-13 | vs ATL | W 143-117 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ WAS | W 140-117 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ TOR | L 114-128 |
| 2026-04-08 | @ TOR | L 95-121 |
| 2026-04-05 | vs WAS | W 152-136 |
| 2026-04-02 | vs BOS | L 129-147 |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PHI | W 119-109 |
| 2026-03-30 | @ IND | L 118-135 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ CLE | L 128-149 |
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line, over that player's last 20 games. Nothing here is a projection.
The live version, with every team and tonight's lines, is the NBA ATS Radar; the team's full profile, schedule and matchup tools are in Miami Heat in the app. Every NBA player at a glance: NBA player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.