College Football Player Prop Hit Rates

How often each College Football player has cleared a given prop line, measured over their last 20 games. Every figure below is a count of games, not a projection: DataStreak does not produce picks.

Updated October 21, 2026. Players need at least 10 games in the sample to appear.

Jump to: Rushing Yards Receiving Yards Passing Yards Receptions

College Football Rushing Yards Prop Hit Rates

Across the 165 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 40+ rushing yards was cleared in 2,098 of 3,061 player-games (68.5%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP40+ rushing yards60+ rushing yards80+ rushing yards100+ rushing yards120+ rushing yards
Cam CookWVU20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
75%
15 of 20
65%
13 of 20
Luke YoderLEH20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
65%
13 of 20
60%
12 of 20
55%
11 of 20
Eli GillmanMONT2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
40%
8 of 20
Jadan BaughFLA2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Jaden GreenCP2095%
19 of 20
60%
12 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Bo JacksonOSU2095%
19 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
35%
7 of 20
0%
0 of 20
Nate SheppardDUKE2090%
18 of 20
80%
16 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
25%
5 of 20
Wayne KnightUCLA2090%
18 of 20
85%
17 of 20
75%
15 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Kewan LacyMISS2090%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
60%
12 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20
DeSean BishopTENN2090%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
60%
12 of 20
35%
7 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Jordan FisherUCD2090%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
45%
9 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Cam EdwardsMSU2090%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Caleb HawkinsOKST1989.5%
17 of 19
73.7%
14 of 19
57.9%
11 of 19
42.1%
8 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
Adam CriterUSD1989.5%
17 of 19
63.2%
12 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
31.6%
6 of 19
15.8%
3 of 19
King MillerUSC1888.9%
16 of 18
77.8%
14 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
27.8%
5 of 18
Cale HellumsARMY2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
65%
13 of 20
45%
9 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Antwan RaymondRUTG2085%
17 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Mark Fletcher Jr.MIA2085%
17 of 20
75%
15 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Wayshawn ParkerUTAH2085%
17 of 20
60%
12 of 20
45%
9 of 20
30%
6 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Jai'Den ThomasUNLV2085%
17 of 20
60%
12 of 20
45%
9 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Adam JonesMTST2085%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20
J'Koby WilliamsTTU2085%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Jeffrey Overton Jr.VT1181.8%
9 of 11
45.5%
5 of 11
27.3%
3 of 11
18.2%
2 of 11
9.1%
1 of 11
Michael WaltersCOLU1181.8%
9 of 11
36.4%
4 of 11
18.2%
2 of 11
9.1%
1 of 11
9.1%
1 of 11
Rodney NelsonM-OH2080%
16 of 20
65%
13 of 20
55%
11 of 20
50%
10 of 20
45%
9 of 20

College Football Receiving Yards Prop Hit Rates

Across the 142 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 40+ receiving yards was cleared in 1,721 of 2,535 player-games (67.9%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP40+ receiving yards60+ receiving yards80+ receiving yards100+ receiving yards120+ receiving yards
Jeremiah SmithOSU20100%
20 of 20
80%
16 of 20
70%
14 of 20
50%
10 of 20
45%
9 of 20
Lance MartinezMRST1190.9%
10 of 11
54.5%
6 of 11
27.3%
3 of 11
9.1%
1 of 11
0%
0 of 11
KJ DuffRUTG2090%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
25%
5 of 20
Samuel Gbatu Jr.UCD2090%
18 of 20
80%
16 of 20
75%
15 of 20
55%
11 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Easton MesserFAU2090%
18 of 20
85%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
30%
6 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Marquis BuchananURI2085%
17 of 20
80%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
45%
9 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Malachi ToneyMIA2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
55%
11 of 20
45%
9 of 20
35%
7 of 20
Josh DerryUCF2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
45%
9 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Beau SparksTXST2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
30%
6 of 20
20%
4 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Ian StrongCAL2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
50%
10 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Griffin WildeNU2085%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
15%
3 of 20
5%
1 of 20
James TyreUNT1283.3%
10 of 12
66.7%
8 of 12
33.3%
4 of 12
25%
3 of 12
0%
0 of 12
Nico BrownSTAN1580%
12 of 15
73.3%
11 of 15
66.7%
10 of 15
46.7%
7 of 15
13.3%
2 of 15
Amare ThomasHOU2080%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
35%
7 of 20
25%
5 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Michael MussariDAY1580%
12 of 15
60%
9 of 15
33.3%
5 of 15
13.3%
2 of 15
6.7%
1 of 15
Chris Dawn Jr.TXST2080%
16 of 20
45%
9 of 20
35%
7 of 20
30%
6 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Keshaun SingletonAUB2080%
16 of 20
55%
11 of 20
45%
9 of 20
15%
3 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Mike MatthewsTENN2080%
16 of 20
40%
8 of 20
25%
5 of 20
20%
4 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Tra NealMONM2080%
16 of 20
35%
7 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Anthony Evans IIIMSST1978.9%
15 of 19
63.2%
12 of 19
47.4%
9 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
10.5%
2 of 19
Zion BookerKENN1978.9%
15 of 19
52.6%
10 of 19
21.1%
4 of 19
10.5%
2 of 19
0%
0 of 19
Samuel MusunguCOR1478.6%
11 of 14
64.3%
9 of 14
42.9%
6 of 14
7.1%
1 of 14
7.1%
1 of 14
Charlie BeckerIU1877.8%
14 of 18
55.6%
10 of 18
44.4%
8 of 18
33.3%
6 of 18
16.7%
3 of 18
Tre RichardsonLOU1877.8%
14 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
22.2%
4 of 18
16.7%
3 of 18
Roy AlexanderUIW1877.8%
14 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
27.8%
5 of 18
16.7%
3 of 18
11.1%
2 of 18

College Football Passing Yards Prop Hit Rates

Across the 154 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 150+ passing yards was cleared in 2,055 of 2,721 player-games (75.5%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP150+ passing yards200+ passing yards250+ passing yards300+ passing yards350+ passing yards
Drew MestemakerOKST20100%
20 of 20
100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
50%
10 of 20
25%
5 of 20
Trinidad ChamblissMISS19100%
19 of 19
94.7%
18 of 19
78.9%
15 of 19
52.6%
10 of 19
21.1%
4 of 19
Darian MensahMIA20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
45%
9 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Kevin JenningsSMU20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
70%
14 of 20
30%
6 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Keali'i Ah YatMONT20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
35%
7 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Ty PenningtonNAU20100%
20 of 20
80%
16 of 20
50%
10 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Brad JacksonTXST19100%
19 of 19
68.4%
13 of 19
31.6%
6 of 19
15.8%
3 of 19
15.8%
3 of 19
Caden VeltkampFAU2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
45%
9 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Jayden MaiavaUSC2095%
19 of 20
95%
19 of 20
85%
17 of 20
35%
7 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Micah AlejadoHAW2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
65%
13 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Josh HooverIU2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
65%
13 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Beau BrungardYSU2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
50%
10 of 20
20%
4 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Katin HouserILL2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
25%
5 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Noah FifitaARIZ2095%
19 of 20
75%
15 of 20
60%
12 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Sam LeavittLSU2095%
19 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
15%
3 of 20
0%
0 of 20
Anthony ColandreaNEB2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
45%
9 of 20
10%
2 of 20
10%
2 of 20
John MateerOU2095%
19 of 20
65%
13 of 20
40%
8 of 20
15%
3 of 20
5%
1 of 20
DJ WilliamsSIU2095%
19 of 20
60%
12 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Pat McQuaideVILL2095%
19 of 20
60%
12 of 20
25%
5 of 20
5%
1 of 20
0%
0 of 20
Braden AtkinsonORST1894.4%
17 of 18
88.9%
16 of 18
83.3%
15 of 18
83.3%
15 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
Mikey KeeneASU1492.9%
13 of 14
71.4%
10 of 14
35.7%
5 of 14
14.3%
2 of 14
7.1%
1 of 14
Nick MinicucciDEL2090%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
60%
12 of 20
45%
9 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Jaden CraigTCU2090%
18 of 20
80%
16 of 20
50%
10 of 20
40%
8 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Devin FarrellURI2090%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20
CJ BaileyNCSU2090%
18 of 20
80%
16 of 20
40%
8 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20

College Football Receptions Prop Hit Rates

Across the 145 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 2+ receptions was cleared in 2,413 of 2,620 player-games (92.1%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP2+ receptions4+ receptions6+ receptions8+ receptions
Easton MesserFAU20100%
20 of 20
95%
19 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
Malachi ToneyMIA20100%
20 of 20
95%
19 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
Jeremiah SmithOSU20100%
20 of 20
95%
19 of 20
65%
13 of 20
45%
9 of 20
Samuel MusunguCOR14100%
14 of 14
92.9%
13 of 14
71.4%
10 of 14
21.4%
3 of 14
Wyatt RogersSTET10100%
10 of 10
90%
9 of 10
40%
4 of 10
40%
4 of 10
Anthony Evans IIIMSST19100%
19 of 19
94.7%
18 of 19
47.4%
9 of 19
21.1%
4 of 19
Danny ScuderoCOLO20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Samuel Gbatu Jr.UCD20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
60%
12 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Cam PedroCLT20100%
20 of 20
80%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Marquis BuchananURI20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
55%
11 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Josh DerryUCF20100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
20%
4 of 20
James TyreUNT12100%
12 of 12
75%
9 of 12
41.7%
5 of 12
16.7%
2 of 12
Gavin LochowDAY20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Trent WalkerHOU20100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
45%
9 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Jordan DwyerTCU18100%
18 of 18
55.6%
10 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
22.2%
4 of 18
Asaad WaseemPUR19100%
19 of 19
73.7%
14 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
26.3%
5 of 19
KJ DuffRUTG20100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
50%
10 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Chris Durr Jr.MD20100%
20 of 20
75%
15 of 20
45%
9 of 20
10%
2 of 20
AJ ColomboWCU18100%
18 of 18
83.3%
15 of 18
44.4%
8 of 18
11.1%
2 of 18
Tony DiazIOWA18100%
18 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
11.1%
2 of 18
Griffin WildeNU20100%
20 of 20
75%
15 of 20
40%
8 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Gabe NunezTNTC20100%
20 of 20
75%
15 of 20
45%
9 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Amare ThomasHOU20100%
20 of 20
65%
13 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Braden PeganUTAH18100%
18 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
44.4%
8 of 18
22.2%
4 of 18
Taco DowlerMTST20100%
20 of 20
65%
13 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20

How these rates are measured

Each column is a line. A player clears it in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games in the sample, which is shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable.

Rates come from graded game logs, never from a projection or a model. Lines that a sportsbook has posted are not used to compute anything on this page, which is why it publishes before books put prices up.

For the live, filterable version with tonight's posted lines and matchups, see the College Football Hit Rate Sheets, or read how the boards are built.

Questions about College Football prop hit rates

How often do College Football players clear 40+ rushing yards?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 40+ rushing yards in 2,098 of 3,061 player-games (68.5%), across the 165 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 21, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 40+ rushing yards most often?

Cam Cook (WVU) tops the table at 40+ rushing yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

How often do College Football players clear 40+ receiving yards?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 40+ receiving yards in 1,721 of 2,535 player-games (67.9%), across the 142 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 21, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 40+ receiving yards most often?

Jeremiah Smith (OSU) tops the table at 40+ receiving yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

How often do College Football players clear 150+ passing yards?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 150+ passing yards in 2,055 of 2,721 player-games (75.5%), across the 154 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 21, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 150+ passing yards most often?

Drew Mestemaker (OKST) tops the table at 150+ passing yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

How often do College Football players clear 2+ receptions?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 2+ receptions in 2,413 of 2,620 player-games (92.1%), across the 145 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 21, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 2+ receptions most often?

Easton Messer (FAU) tops the table at 2+ receptions: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

Are these College Football hit rates picks?

No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.

How are the College Football prop hit rates measured?

From graded game logs over each player's last 20 games. A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample to appear.

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