College Football Player Prop Hit Rates

How often each College Football player has cleared a given prop line, measured over their last 20 games. Every figure below is a count of games, not a projection: DataStreak does not produce picks.

Updated October 16, 2026. Players need at least 10 games in the sample to appear.

Jump to: Rushing Yards Receiving Yards Passing Yards Receptions

College Football Rushing Yards Prop Hit Rates

Across the 166 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 40+ rushing yards was cleared in 2,060 of 3,026 player-games (68.1%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP40+ rushing yards60+ rushing yards80+ rushing yards100+ rushing yards120+ rushing yards
Luke YoderLEH20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
60%
12 of 20
55%
11 of 20
50%
10 of 20
Cam CookWVU2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
75%
15 of 20
65%
13 of 20
Eli GillmanMONT2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
40%
8 of 20
Jadan BaughFLA2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Jaden GreenCP2095%
19 of 20
60%
12 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Bo JacksonOSU1994.7%
18 of 19
78.9%
15 of 19
52.6%
10 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
0%
0 of 19
Wayne KnightUCLA2090%
18 of 20
85%
17 of 20
75%
15 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Cam EdwardsMSU2090%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Nate SheppardDUKE1989.5%
17 of 19
78.9%
15 of 19
57.9%
11 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
26.3%
5 of 19
Caleb HawkinsOKST1888.9%
16 of 18
72.2%
13 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
44.4%
8 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
King MillerUSC1888.9%
16 of 18
77.8%
14 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
27.8%
5 of 18
Adam CriterUSD1888.9%
16 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
33.3%
6 of 18
27.8%
5 of 18
11.1%
2 of 18
Antwan RaymondRUTG2085%
17 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Kewan LacyMISS2085%
17 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
25%
5 of 20
DeSean BishopTENN2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
55%
11 of 20
30%
6 of 20
25%
5 of 20
Jordan FisherUCD2085%
17 of 20
70%
14 of 20
45%
9 of 20
40%
8 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Mark Fletcher Jr.MIA2085%
17 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Jai'Den ThomasUNLV2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
45%
9 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Wayshawn ParkerUTAH2085%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20
20%
4 of 20
J'Koby WilliamsTTU2085%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Michael WaltersCOLU1181.8%
9 of 11
36.4%
4 of 11
18.2%
2 of 11
9.1%
1 of 11
9.1%
1 of 11
Rodney NelsonM-OH2080%
16 of 20
65%
13 of 20
55%
11 of 20
45%
9 of 20
40%
8 of 20
Beau BrungardYSU2080%
16 of 20
75%
15 of 20
60%
12 of 20
50%
10 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Cale HellumsARMY2080%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
60%
12 of 20
40%
8 of 20
25%
5 of 20
Charles Pierre Jr.SDAK2080%
16 of 20
55%
11 of 20
45%
9 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20

College Football Receiving Yards Prop Hit Rates

Across the 138 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 40+ receiving yards was cleared in 1,640 of 2,431 player-games (67.5%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP40+ receiving yards60+ receiving yards80+ receiving yards100+ receiving yards120+ receiving yards
Jeremiah SmithOSU20100%
20 of 20
80%
16 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
45%
9 of 20
Lance MartinezMRST1190.9%
10 of 11
54.5%
6 of 11
27.3%
3 of 11
9.1%
1 of 11
0%
0 of 11
Samuel Gbatu Jr.UCD2090%
18 of 20
80%
16 of 20
75%
15 of 20
55%
11 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Easton MesserFAU2090%
18 of 20
85%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
25%
5 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Nico BrownSTAN1485.7%
12 of 14
78.6%
11 of 14
71.4%
10 of 14
50%
7 of 14
14.3%
2 of 14
Marquis BuchananURI2085%
17 of 20
80%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
45%
9 of 20
30%
6 of 20
KJ DuffRUTG2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
50%
10 of 20
30%
6 of 20
25%
5 of 20
Malachi ToneyMIA2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
55%
11 of 20
40%
8 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Josh DerryUCF2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
45%
9 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Beau SparksTXST2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
30%
6 of 20
20%
4 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Ian StrongCAL2085%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
50%
10 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Griffin WildeNU2085%
17 of 20
60%
12 of 20
40%
8 of 20
15%
3 of 20
5%
1 of 20
James TyreUNT1283.3%
10 of 12
66.7%
8 of 12
33.3%
4 of 12
25%
3 of 12
0%
0 of 12
Roy AlexanderUIW1782.4%
14 of 17
64.7%
11 of 17
29.4%
5 of 17
17.6%
3 of 17
11.8%
2 of 17
Cooper BarkateMIA2080%
16 of 20
65%
13 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Keshaun SingletonAUB2080%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
50%
10 of 20
15%
3 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Chris Dawn Jr.TXST2080%
16 of 20
45%
9 of 20
35%
7 of 20
30%
6 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Amare ThomasHOU2080%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
30%
6 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Anthony Evans IIIMSST1978.9%
15 of 19
63.2%
12 of 19
47.4%
9 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
10.5%
2 of 19
Zion BookerKENN1978.9%
15 of 19
52.6%
10 of 19
21.1%
4 of 19
10.5%
2 of 19
0%
0 of 19
Michael MussariDAY1478.6%
11 of 14
57.1%
8 of 14
28.6%
4 of 14
14.3%
2 of 14
7.1%
1 of 14
Samuel MusunguCOR1376.9%
10 of 13
69.2%
9 of 13
46.2%
6 of 13
7.7%
1 of 13
7.7%
1 of 13
Tre RichardsonLOU1776.5%
13 of 17
64.7%
11 of 17
41.2%
7 of 17
23.5%
4 of 17
17.6%
3 of 17
Kam'Ryn ThomasNORF1776.5%
13 of 17
47.1%
8 of 17
47.1%
8 of 17
23.5%
4 of 17
0%
0 of 17
Corri MillinerUNT1776.5%
13 of 17
58.8%
10 of 17
29.4%
5 of 17
11.8%
2 of 17
5.9%
1 of 17

College Football Passing Yards Prop Hit Rates

Across the 158 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 150+ passing yards was cleared in 2,073 of 2,767 player-games (74.9%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP150+ passing yards200+ passing yards250+ passing yards300+ passing yards350+ passing yards
Drew MestemakerOKST20100%
20 of 20
100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
50%
10 of 20
25%
5 of 20
Kevin JenningsSMU20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
75%
15 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Darian MensahMIA20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
65%
13 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Keali'i Ah YatMONT20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
65%
13 of 20
35%
7 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Brad JacksonTXST19100%
19 of 19
68.4%
13 of 19
31.6%
6 of 19
15.8%
3 of 19
15.8%
3 of 19
Ty PenningtonNAU20100%
20 of 20
75%
15 of 20
45%
9 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Caden VeltkampFAU2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
45%
9 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Jayden MaiavaUSC2095%
19 of 20
95%
19 of 20
85%
17 of 20
35%
7 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Julian SayinOSU2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
45%
9 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Josh HooverIU2095%
19 of 20
90%
18 of 20
60%
12 of 20
25%
5 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Katin HouserILL2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
25%
5 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Noah FifitaARIZ2095%
19 of 20
75%
15 of 20
60%
12 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Anthony ColandreaNEB2095%
19 of 20
80%
16 of 20
45%
9 of 20
10%
2 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Sam LeavittLSU2095%
19 of 20
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
20%
4 of 20
0%
0 of 20
John MateerOU2095%
19 of 20
65%
13 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
10%
2 of 20
DJ WilliamsSIU2095%
19 of 20
60%
12 of 20
35%
7 of 20
20%
4 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Trinidad ChamblissMISS1994.7%
18 of 19
89.5%
17 of 19
78.9%
15 of 19
52.6%
10 of 19
21.1%
4 of 19
Micah AlejadoHAW1994.7%
18 of 19
78.9%
15 of 19
63.2%
12 of 19
36.8%
7 of 19
21.1%
4 of 19
Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleCAL1894.4%
17 of 18
83.3%
15 of 18
55.6%
10 of 18
22.2%
4 of 18
5.6%
1 of 18
Braden AtkinsonORST1794.1%
16 of 17
88.2%
15 of 17
82.4%
14 of 17
82.4%
14 of 17
41.2%
7 of 17
Dante RenoYALE1593.3%
14 of 15
60%
9 of 15
40%
6 of 15
13.3%
2 of 15
6.7%
1 of 15
Mikey KeeneASU1392.3%
12 of 13
69.2%
9 of 13
30.8%
4 of 13
15.4%
2 of 13
7.7%
1 of 13
Jaden CraigTCU2090%
18 of 20
80%
16 of 20
50%
10 of 20
45%
9 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Nick MinicucciDEL2090%
18 of 20
70%
14 of 20
60%
12 of 20
45%
9 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Beau BrungardYSU2090%
18 of 20
85%
17 of 20
50%
10 of 20
20%
4 of 20
5%
1 of 20

College Football Receptions Prop Hit Rates

Across the 138 College Football players with at least 10 games in the sample, 2+ receptions was cleared in 2,304 of 2,513 player-games (91.7%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.

PlayerTeamGP2+ receptions4+ receptions6+ receptions8+ receptions
Easton MesserFAU20100%
20 of 20
95%
19 of 20
70%
14 of 20
45%
9 of 20
Samuel MusunguCOR13100%
13 of 13
92.3%
12 of 13
76.9%
10 of 13
23.1%
3 of 13
Malachi ToneyMIA20100%
20 of 20
95%
19 of 20
55%
11 of 20
35%
7 of 20
Jeremiah SmithOSU20100%
20 of 20
95%
19 of 20
65%
13 of 20
45%
9 of 20
Danny ScuderoCOLO20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Cam PedroCLT20100%
20 of 20
80%
16 of 20
60%
12 of 20
30%
6 of 20
Anthony Evans IIIMSST19100%
19 of 19
94.7%
18 of 19
42.1%
8 of 19
21.1%
4 of 19
Samuel Gbatu Jr.UCD20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
20%
4 of 20
Marquis BuchananURI20100%
20 of 20
90%
18 of 20
55%
11 of 20
5%
1 of 20
Josh DerryUCF20100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
55%
11 of 20
20%
4 of 20
James TyreUNT12100%
12 of 12
75%
9 of 12
41.7%
5 of 12
16.7%
2 of 12
Gavin LochowDAY20100%
20 of 20
85%
17 of 20
40%
8 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Trent WalkerHOU20100%
20 of 20
65%
13 of 20
40%
8 of 20
15%
3 of 20
AJ ColomboWCU18100%
18 of 18
83.3%
15 of 18
44.4%
8 of 18
11.1%
2 of 18
Tony DiazIOWA18100%
18 of 18
61.1%
11 of 18
38.9%
7 of 18
11.1%
2 of 18
Asaad WaseemPUR18100%
18 of 18
72.2%
13 of 18
33.3%
6 of 18
22.2%
4 of 18
Chris Durr Jr.MD20100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
40%
8 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Griffin WildeNU20100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Gabe NunezTNTC20100%
20 of 20
70%
14 of 20
45%
9 of 20
10%
2 of 20
Amare ThomasHOU20100%
20 of 20
65%
13 of 20
40%
8 of 20
20%
4 of 20
KJ DuffRUTG20100%
20 of 20
65%
13 of 20
45%
9 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Taco DowlerMTST20100%
20 of 20
65%
13 of 20
35%
7 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Cooper BarkateMIA20100%
20 of 20
80%
16 of 20
20%
4 of 20
15%
3 of 20
Braden PeganUTAH17100%
17 of 17
58.8%
10 of 17
41.2%
7 of 17
17.6%
3 of 17
Brayden SmithMER20100%
20 of 20
75%
15 of 20
30%
6 of 20
10%
2 of 20

How these rates are measured

Each column is a line. A player clears it in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games in the sample, which is shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable.

Rates come from graded game logs, never from a projection or a model. Lines that a sportsbook has posted are not used to compute anything on this page, which is why it publishes before books put prices up.

For the live, filterable version with tonight's posted lines and matchups, see the College Football Hit Rate Sheets, or read how the boards are built.

Questions about College Football prop hit rates

How often do College Football players clear 40+ rushing yards?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 40+ rushing yards in 2,060 of 3,026 player-games (68.1%), across the 166 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 40+ rushing yards most often?

Luke Yoder (LEH) tops the table at 40+ rushing yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

How often do College Football players clear 40+ receiving yards?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 40+ receiving yards in 1,640 of 2,431 player-games (67.5%), across the 138 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 40+ receiving yards most often?

Jeremiah Smith (OSU) tops the table at 40+ receiving yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

How often do College Football players clear 150+ passing yards?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 150+ passing yards in 2,073 of 2,767 player-games (74.9%), across the 158 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 150+ passing yards most often?

Drew Mestemaker (OKST) tops the table at 150+ passing yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

How often do College Football players clear 2+ receptions?

Over their last 20 games, College Football players cleared 2+ receptions in 2,304 of 2,513 player-games (91.7%), across the 138 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.

Which College Football player has cleared 2+ receptions most often?

Easton Messer (FAU) tops the table at 2+ receptions: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.

Are these College Football hit rates picks?

No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.

How are the College Football prop hit rates measured?

From graded game logs over each player's last 20 games. A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample to appear.

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