NHL Player Prop Hit Rates
How often each NHL player has cleared a given prop line, measured over their last 20 games. Every figure below is a count of games, not a projection: DataStreak does not produce picks.
Updated October 16, 2026. Players need at least 10 games in the sample to appear.
Jump to: Shots On Goal Points Goals Assists
NHL Shots On Goal Prop Hit Rates
Across the 172 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ shots on goal was cleared in 3,057 of 3,433 player-games (89%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ shots on goal | 2+ shots on goal | 3+ shots on goal | 4+ shots on goal | 5+ shots on goal | 6+ shots on goal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | MIN | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Kyle Connor | WPG | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Alex DeBrincat | DET | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Macklin Celebrini | SJS | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Matthew Schaefer | NYI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Jason Robertson | DAL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Dylan Larkin | DET | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Bo Horvat | NYI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Alex Tuch | WSH | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Bobby McMann | SEA | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Nikita Kucherov | TBL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Dylan Holloway | STL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Dylan Cozens | OTT | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Nick Suzuki | MTL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Anton Frondell | CHI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | NJD | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Zach Benson | BUF | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Tage Thompson | BUF | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Cutter Gauthier | ANA | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Auston Matthews | TOR | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| David Pastrnak | BOS | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
NHL Points Prop Hit Rates
Across the 178 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ points was cleared in 1,987 of 3,550 player-games (56%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ points | 2+ points | 3+ points | 4+ points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Quinn Hughes | MIN | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Clayton Keller | UTA | 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Adam Fox | NYR | 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Evan Bouchard | EDM | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Kyle Connor | WPG | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| John Tavares | TOR | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mikael Granlund | ANA | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Macklin Celebrini | SJS | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | FLA | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Robert Thomas | STL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mitch Marner | VGK | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Dylan Guenther | UTA | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Auston Matthews | TOR | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Sebastian Aho | CAR | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Alex DeBrincat | DET | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Steven Stamkos | NSH | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mason McTavish | STL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Roman Josi | NSH | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
NHL Goals Prop Hit Rates
Across the 172 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ goals was cleared in 1,012 of 3,404 player-games (29.7%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ goals | 2+ goals | 3+ goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | WPG | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | EDM | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Steven Stamkos | NSH | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Jason Robertson | DAL | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jake DeBrusk | VAN | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Macklin Celebrini | SJS | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Adrian Kempe | LAK | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Nick Schmaltz | UTA | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mark Stone | VGK | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| John Tavares | TOR | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Brett Howden | VGK | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Dylan Guenther | UTA | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Drake Batherson | OTT | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Matt Boldy | MIN | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Alex DeBrincat | DET | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | CAR | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| William Nylander | TOR | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Beckett Sennecke | ANA | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | SEA | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
NHL Assists Prop Hit Rates
Across the 172 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ assists was cleared in 1,432 of 3,420 player-games (41.9%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ assists | 2+ assists | 3+ assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes | MIN | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Adam Fox | NYR | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Evan Bouchard | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Clayton Keller | UTA | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Mitch Marner | VGK | 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Jackson Blake | CAR | 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mark Scheifele | WPG | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | UTA | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Lane Hutson | MTL | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Mikko Rantanen | DAL | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Roman Josi | NSH | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Tim Stützle | OTT | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Chandler Stephenson | SEA | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Jack Eichel | VGK | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Jesper Bratt | NJD | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Dylan Holloway | STL | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Martin Necas | COL | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Patrick Kane | CHI | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Leo Carlsson | ANA | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Elias Pettersson | VAN | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| J.T. Miller | NYR | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
How these rates are measured
Each column is a line. A player clears it in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games in the sample, which is shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable.
Rates come from graded game logs, never from a projection or a model. Lines that a sportsbook has posted are not used to compute anything on this page, which is why it publishes before books put prices up.
For the live, filterable version with tonight's posted lines and matchups, see the NHL Hit Rate Sheets, or read how the boards are built.
Questions about NHL prop hit rates
How often do NHL players clear 1+ shots on goal?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ shots on goal in 3,057 of 3,433 player-games (89%), across the 172 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ shots on goal most often?
Matt Boldy (MIN) tops the table at 1+ shots on goal: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NHL players clear 1+ points?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ points in 1,987 of 3,550 player-games (56%), across the 178 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ points most often?
Leon Draisaitl (EDM) tops the table at 1+ points: 19 of 20 games (95%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NHL players clear 1+ goals?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ goals in 1,012 of 3,404 player-games (29.7%), across the 172 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ goals most often?
Kyle Connor (WPG) tops the table at 1+ goals: 12 of 20 games (60%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NHL players clear 1+ assists?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ assists in 1,432 of 3,420 player-games (41.9%), across the 172 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 16, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ assists most often?
Quinn Hughes (MIN) tops the table at 1+ assists: 17 of 20 games (85%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
Are these NHL hit rates picks?
No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.
How are the NHL prop hit rates measured?
From graded game logs over each player's last 20 games. A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample to appear.
NHL games this week
- Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche, Oct 16
- Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks, Oct 16
- New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals, Oct 17
- Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets, Oct 17
- Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning, Oct 17
- Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers, Oct 17
- Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 17
- Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 17
- New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 17
- Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens, Oct 17
- San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings, Oct 17
- New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets, Oct 17
- St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators, Oct 17
- Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings, Oct 17
- Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 17
- Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth, Oct 17
- Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild, Oct 18
- Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames, Oct 18
- Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 19
- Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers, Oct 19
- San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 19
- Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth, Oct 19
- Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets, Oct 20
- Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders, Oct 20
- San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens, Oct 20
- Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils, Oct 20
- Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals, Oct 20
- Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues, Oct 20
- Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars, Oct 20
- Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers, Oct 20
- Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken, Oct 20
- Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 20
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 20
- Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres, Oct 21
- Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators, Oct 21
- San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators, Oct 22
- Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils, Oct 22
- New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 22
- Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins, Oct 22
- Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 22
NHL prop research
- How often do NHL goals props clear the line?
- How often do NHL points props clear the line?
- How often do NHL shots on goal props clear the line?
- How often do NHL assists props clear the line?
- How often do NHL saves props clear the line?
- How often do NHL blocked shots props clear the line?
Latest NHL insights
- How to Bet NHL Team Total Goals October 12, 2026
- Is There a Home-Opener Betting Bias in the NHL? October 9, 2026
- Why the NHL Is the Softest Market in Sports Betting September 25, 2026
- How to Bet NHL Goalie Saves Props September 24, 2026
- How to Bet NHL Power Play Points Props September 23, 2026
- How to Bet NHL Assists Props September 22, 2026