NHL Player Prop Hit Rates
How often each NHL player has cleared a given prop line, measured over their last 20 games. Every figure below is a count of games, not a projection: DataStreak does not produce picks.
Updated October 20, 2026. Players need at least 10 games in the sample to appear.
Jump to: Shots On Goal Points Goals Assists
NHL Shots On Goal Prop Hit Rates
Across the 177 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ shots on goal was cleared in 3,136 of 3,514 player-games (89.2%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ shots on goal | 2+ shots on goal | 3+ shots on goal | 4+ shots on goal | 5+ shots on goal | 6+ shots on goal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | MIN | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Kyle Connor | WPG | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Macklin Celebrini | SJS | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Jason Robertson | DAL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Matthew Schaefer | NYI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Alex DeBrincat | DET | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Bo Horvat | NYI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Nikita Kucherov | TBL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Alex Tuch | WSH | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Dylan Larkin | DET | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Dylan Holloway | STL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Nick Suzuki | MTL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Dylan Cozens | OTT | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Anton Frondell | CHI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | NJD | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Zach Benson | BUF | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Gavin McKenna | TOR | 10 | 100% 10 of 10 | 40% 4 of 10 | 20% 2 of 10 | 20% 2 of 10 | 0% 0 of 10 | 0% 0 of 10 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Tage Thompson | BUF | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Cutter Gauthier | ANA | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| David Pastrnak | BOS | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Darren Raddysh | TOR | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Dylan Guenther | UTA | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
NHL Points Prop Hit Rates
Across the 182 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ points was cleared in 2,010 of 3,611 player-games (55.7%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ points | 2+ points | 3+ points | 4+ points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Quinn Hughes | MIN | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Evan Bouchard | EDM | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Clayton Keller | UTA | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Adam Fox | NYR | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Roman Josi | NSH | 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Macklin Celebrini | SJS | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Mark Scheifele | WPG | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | FLA | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Dylan Holloway | STL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Kyle Connor | WPG | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jason Robertson | DAL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mitch Marner | VGK | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Sebastian Aho | CAR | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Alex DeBrincat | DET | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mikael Granlund | ANA | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Mark Stone | VGK | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Steven Stamkos | NSH | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mason McTavish | STL | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
NHL Goals Prop Hit Rates
Across the 173 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ goals was cleared in 1,009 of 3,415 player-games (29.5%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ goals | 2+ goals | 3+ goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | WPG | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Jason Robertson | DAL | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Macklin Celebrini | SJS | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | EDM | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Steven Stamkos | NSH | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mark Stone | VGK | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Drake Batherson | OTT | 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Adrian Kempe | LAK | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jake DeBrusk | VAN | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Evgeni Malkin | PIT | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Beckett Sennecke | ANA | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Brett Howden | VGK | 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Matt Boldy | MIN | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Alex DeBrincat | DET | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | CAR | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Cole Caufield | MTL | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Nick Schmaltz | UTA | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Dylan Guenther | UTA | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | SEA | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Tage Thompson | BUF | 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
NHL Assists Prop Hit Rates
Across the 175 NHL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 1+ assists was cleared in 1,439 of 3,475 player-games (41.4%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 1+ assists | 2+ assists | 3+ assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes | MIN | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Evan Bouchard | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Adam Fox | NYR | 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Clayton Keller | UTA | 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mitch Marner | VGK | 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Roman Josi | NSH | 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Tim Stützle | OTT | 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mark Scheifele | WPG | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Jack Hughes | NJD | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jack Eichel | VGK | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Dylan Holloway | STL | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Erik Karlsson | PIT | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Mikko Rantanen | DAL | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jackson Blake | CAR | 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Martin Necas | COL | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| David Pastrnak | BOS | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Patrick Kane | CHI | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | UTA | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Lane Hutson | MTL | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Filip Hronek | VAN | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Jackson LaCombe | ANA | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Matt Coronato | CGY | 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
How these rates are measured
Each column is a line. A player clears it in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games in the sample, which is shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable.
Rates come from graded game logs, never from a projection or a model. Lines that a sportsbook has posted are not used to compute anything on this page, which is why it publishes before books put prices up.
For the live, filterable version with tonight's posted lines and matchups, see the NHL Hit Rate Sheets, or read how the boards are built.
Questions about NHL prop hit rates
How often do NHL players clear 1+ shots on goal?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ shots on goal in 3,136 of 3,514 player-games (89.2%), across the 177 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ shots on goal most often?
Matt Boldy (MIN) tops the table at 1+ shots on goal: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NHL players clear 1+ points?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ points in 2,010 of 3,611 player-games (55.7%), across the 182 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ points most often?
Leon Draisaitl (EDM) tops the table at 1+ points: 19 of 20 games (95%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NHL players clear 1+ goals?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ goals in 1,009 of 3,415 player-games (29.5%), across the 173 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ goals most often?
Kyle Connor (WPG) tops the table at 1+ goals: 12 of 20 games (60%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NHL players clear 1+ assists?
Over their last 20 games, NHL players cleared 1+ assists in 1,439 of 3,475 player-games (41.4%), across the 175 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NHL player has cleared 1+ assists most often?
Quinn Hughes (MIN) tops the table at 1+ assists: 17 of 20 games (85%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
Are these NHL hit rates picks?
No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.
How are the NHL prop hit rates measured?
From graded game logs over each player's last 20 games. A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample to appear.
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NHL prop research
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