How often do MLB hits allowed props clear the line?
Over the last 90 days, the over cleared the posted line in 1,181 of 2,822 graded MLB hits allowed props (41.8%), across 8 lines and 187 players. Every figure is a count of graded market outcomes, not a record of anyone's picks. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
MLB hits allowed: how often the over cleared, by line
Every posted line with at least 100 graded props in the window. A prop clears when the player's box-score number finishes above the line; pushes and voids are excluded from both counts.
| Line | Graded overs | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 329 | 264 | 80.2% |
| 3.5 | 431 | 298 | 69.1% |
| 4.5 | 436 | 235 | 53.9% |
| 5.5 | 415 | 156 | 37.6% |
| 6.5 | 394 | 95 | 24.1% |
| 7.5 | 209 | 36 | 17.2% |
| 8.5 | 285 | 18 | 6.3% |
| 9.5 | 160 | 8 | 5% |
By week
The same count, one row per week (Monday start), newest first. A week with few graded props moves more than one with many; the counts are there so the reader can weigh it.
| Week of | Graded overs | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | 655 | 287 | 43.8% |
| 2026-09-07 | 1,252 | 501 | 40% |
| 2026-08-31 | 915 | 393 | 43% |
Questions
How often did MLB hits allowed overs clear at 2.5?
In 264 of 329 graded props at a line of 2.5 (80.2%) over the last 90 days. A rate is a count of past graded props at that line, not a prediction.
How often did the over clear at the highest common line, 9.5?
In 8 of 160 graded props (5%). Higher lines clear less often by construction; the table lists every line with 100 or more graded props.
Are these DataStreak picks?
No. Every row is a market outcome: a prop line a sportsbook posted, graded off the official box score by the data vendor, counted whether or not anyone bet it. DataStreak does not produce picks and this page is not a record of any.
How this is measured
The data vendor grades every player prop line a sportsbook posted against the official box score: over, under, push or void. This page counts the OVER side of every graded MLB hits allowed line in the last 90 days, at every line any book posted, whether or not anyone bet it. Pushes and voids are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. No selection of DataStreak's is involved: this describes the market, not anyone's picks. A rate here is an outcome frequency at a posted line, never a probability for the next game.
Per-player versions of these counts are on the MLB player prop hit rates hub and each player's own page; the live, filterable board with tonight's lines is the MLB Hit Rate Sheets; the boards themselves are explained in the methodology.