Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres: Betting Trends, Sep 26, 2026 (MLB)
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the San Diego Padres on September 26, 2026. This season the Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the spread in 80 of 154 games (51.9%), and the San Diego Padres have covered the spread in 87 of 154 games (56.5%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 19, 2026.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 80 of 154 (51.9%) | 43 of 79 (54.4%) | 37 of 75 (49.3%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| San Diego Padres | 87 of 154 (56.5%) | 43 of 76 (56.6%) | 44 of 78 (56.4%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | SD 5 | ARI 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | SD 4 | ARI 10 |
| 2026-08-04 | SD 9 | ARI 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | SD 1 | ARI 5 |
| 2026-07-09 | ARI 3 | SD 1 |
| 2026-07-08 | ARI 4 | SD 10 |
| 2026-07-07 | ARI 1 | SD 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | ARI 8 | SD 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | SD 7 | ARI 12 |
| 2026-04-25 | SD 6 | ARI 4 |
Arizona Diamondbacks: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | vs NYY | L 2-9 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs MIA | L 3-4 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs MIA | L 2-4 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs MIA | W 8-7 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TEX | L 6-7 |
San Diego Padres: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | vs MIA | W 8-2 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ COL | W 9-2 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ COL | W 9-3 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ COL | L 3-9 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ COL | W 8-7 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
ARI players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 12 of 13 | 92.3% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Michael Soroka | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 17 of 20 | 85% |
SD players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Michael King | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Robbie Ray | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 17 of 20 | 85% |
Questions about Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Who has the better record against the spread, the Arizona Diamondbacks or the San Diego Padres?
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered in 80 of 154 games (51.9%) and the San Diego Padres in 87 of 154 (56.5%) in the 2026 season, so the San Diego Padres have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the San Diego Padres won 5 and the Arizona Diamondbacks won 5. The most recent was SD 5, ARI 1 on August 6, 2026.
Which players in Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres clear their prop lines most often?
Nick Pivetta has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%); Corbin Burnes has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 games (92.3%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these ARI at SD numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 19, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every MLB prop graded on this date: MLB player props, September 26, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.