Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays: Betting Trends, Sep 11, 2026 (MLB)
The Baltimore Orioles beat the Toronto Blue Jays 7-4 on September 11, 2026. This season the Baltimore Orioles have covered the spread in 78 of 153 games (51%), and the Toronto Blue Jays have covered the spread in 75 of 153 games (49%) (2026). Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: BAL 7, TOR 4.
Probable starters: BAL Chris Bassitt, TOR Max Scherzer.
The posted line
At unibet as of September 11, 2026: TOR -1.5, total 8. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Against the spread, 2026 season
Covers of settled games. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
| Team | Overall | Home | Road | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 78 of 153 (51%) | 39 of 75 (52%) | 39 of 78 (50%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 75 of 153 (49%) | 38 of 78 (48.7%) | 37 of 75 (49.3%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Previous meetings
Finished regular-season games between the two, this season and last, newest first.
| Date | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | BAL 1 | TOR 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | BAL 3 | TOR 7 |
| 2026-06-07 | BAL 4 | TOR 6 |
| 2026-06-06 | BAL 4 | TOR 6 |
| 2026-06-05 | BAL 13 | TOR 3 |
| 2026-05-31 | TOR 5 | BAL 9 |
| 2026-05-30 | TOR 5 | BAL 6 |
| 2026-05-29 | TOR 6 | BAL 5 |
| 2026-05-28 | TOR 2 | BAL 1 |
| 2025-09-14 | BAL 2 | TOR 11 |
Baltimore Orioles: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | @ NYM | W 7-1 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ NYM | W 7-5 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ NYM | W 2-1 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TOR | L 1-8 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ TOR | L 3-7 |
Toronto Blue Jays: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | vs DET | W 5-1 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs DET | L 1-10 |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DET | L 5-6 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | W 8-1 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs BAL | W 7-3 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
BAL players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 19 of 20 | 95% |
| Brandon Young | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Coby Mayo | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
TOR players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Pitcher Strikeouts | 3+ strikeouts | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Brett Bateman | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
| Nathan Lukes | Hits | 1+ hits | 17 of 20 | 85% |
Questions about Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays
Who has the better record against the spread, the Baltimore Orioles or the Toronto Blue Jays?
The Baltimore Orioles have covered in 78 of 153 games (51%) and the Toronto Blue Jays in 75 of 153 (49%) in the 2026 season, so the Baltimore Orioles have the higher rate. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of this one.
How have the last meetings between the Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays gone?
Of the last 10 regular-season meetings this season and last, the Toronto Blue Jays won 7 and the Baltimore Orioles won 3. The most recent was BAL 1, TOR 8 on September 13, 2026.
Which players in Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays clear their prop lines most often?
Dylan Cease has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 20 of his last 20 games (100%); Trevor Rogers has cleared 3+ strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 games (95%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these BAL at TOR numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Both teams' full pages: Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the MLB ATS Radar. Every MLB player at a glance: MLB player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.