MLB Player Props, September 30, 2026: How the Posted Lines Cleared
On September 30, 2026, the over cleared the posted line in 674 of 3,054 graded MLB player props (22.1%) across 15 markets. Every figure is a count of graded market outcomes, not a record of anyone's picks. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 1, 2026.
By market
Every graded over on the day, at every line any book posted. A prop clears when the player's box-score number finishes above the line; pushes and voids are left out. Each market links to its 90-day research page.
| Market | Graded overs | Cleared | Rate | Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| hits + runs + RBIs | 524 | 135 | 25.8% | 57 |
| total bases | 519 | 115 | 22.2% | 57 |
| hits | 465 | 124 | 26.7% | 57 |
| RBIs | 411 | 60 | 14.6% | 57 |
| home runs | 223 | 16 | 7.2% | 57 |
| runs scored | 194 | 37 | 19.1% | 58 |
| singles | 167 | 46 | 27.5% | 57 |
| stolen bases | 98 | 11 | 11.2% | 49 |
| walks | 96 | 21 | 21.9% | 56 |
| pitcher strikeouts | 92 | 38 | 41.3% | 8 |
| doubles | 72 | 5 | 6.9% | 57 |
| triples | 64 | 0 | 0% | 57 |
| outs recorded | 50 | 27 | 54% | 6 |
| hits allowed | 46 | 24 | 52.2% | 6 |
| earned runs allowed | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 6 |
Players whose posted lines cleared most
Graded overs across every market and every posted line for the player that day, ranked by the number that cleared. A count of one day's outcomes, not a rating.
| Player | Cleared |
|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 33 of 81 |
| Jeremy Peña | 33 of 81 |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 28 of 51 |
| Cody Bellinger | 26 of 48 |
| Chase Meidroth | 25 of 50 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | 23 of 50 |
| Bryce Harper | 21 of 51 |
| Tyler Mahle | 21 of 33 |
| Willson Contreras | 20 of 47 |
| George Lombard Jr. | 19 of 66 |
Questions
How often did MLB player prop overs clear on September 30, 2026?
In 674 of 3,054 graded overs (22.1%), at every line any book posted across 15 markets. A count of that day's graded outcomes, not a prediction.
Which MLB market cleared most often that day?
Outs recorded: 27 of 50 graded overs (54%). The lowest was triples: 0 of 64 (0%). Higher lines clear less often by construction, so a market's rate depends on the lines the books chose to post.
Are these DataStreak picks?
No. Every row is a market outcome: a prop line a sportsbook posted, graded off the official box score by the data vendor, counted whether or not anyone bet it. DataStreak does not produce picks and this page is not a record of any.
How this is measured
The data vendor grades every player prop line a sportsbook posted against the official box score: over, under, push or void. This page counts the OVER side of every graded MLB line for games on this ET date, at every line any book posted, whether or not anyone bet it. Pushes and voids are excluded from both counts. No selection of DataStreak's is involved: this describes the market on one day, not anyone's picks. A rate is an outcome frequency at posted lines, never a probability for another day.
The 90-day view of each market is on its research page (linked in the table); every player at a glance is on the MLB player prop hit rates hub; the live board with tonight's lines is the MLB Hit Rate Sheets; the boards are explained in the methodology.