← College Football player prop hit rates

Mercyhurst Lakers at New Mexico State Aggies: Betting Trends, Sep 5, 2026 (College Football)

College Football · September 5, 2026 · Final

The New Mexico State Aggies beat the Mercyhurst Lakers 51-14 on September 5, 2026. Trey Hedden has cleared 150+ passing yards in 18 of the last 20 games (90%), the highest rate on either side. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.

Final: MERC 14, NMSU 51.

The posted line

At pinnacle as of September 5, 2026: NMSU -28.5, total 52.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.

Mercyhurst Lakers: last 5 games

DateOppResult
2026-09-12@ UNML 7-70
2026-09-06@ NMSUL 14-51
2026-08-27@ YSUL 10-43
2025-11-22@ CCSUL 28-35
2025-11-15vs RMUW 27-13

New Mexico State Aggies: last 5 games

DateOppResult
2026-09-13@ HAWL 19-29
2026-09-06vs MERCW 51-14
2026-08-29@ FSUL 17-34
2025-11-29vs MTSUL 24-31
2025-11-22@ UTEPW 34-31

Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.

MERC players clearing their prop lines most often

PlayerMarketLineClearedRate
Dylan EvansReceptions2+ receptions12 of 1485.7%
Dylan EvansReceiving Yards40+ receiving yards6 of 1442.9%

NMSU players clearing their prop lines most often

PlayerMarketLineClearedRate
Trey HeddenPassing Yards150+ passing yards18 of 2090%
TK KingReceptions2+ receptions16 of 1984.2%
James JonesRushing Yards40+ rushing yards12 of 1963.2%

Questions about Mercyhurst Lakers at New Mexico State Aggies

Which players in Mercyhurst Lakers at New Mexico State Aggies clear their prop lines most often?

Trey Hedden has cleared 150+ passing yards in 18 of his last 20 games (90%); Dylan Evans has cleared 2+ receptions in 12 of his last 14 games (85.7%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.

Are these MERC at NMSU numbers picks?

No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.

How these numbers are measured

A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.

Every College Football prop graded on this date: College Football player props, September 5, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Mercyhurst Lakers and New Mexico State Aggies. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the College Football ATS Radar. Every College Football player at a glance: College Football player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.