Merrimack Warriors at Tarleton State Texans: Betting Trends, Sep 19, 2026 (College Football)
The Merrimack Warriors visit the Tarleton State Texans on September 19, 2026. Marquis Willis has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 8 of the last 12 games (66.7%), the highest rate on either side. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 19, 2026.
The posted line
At hardrock as of September 19, 2026: TAR -32.5, total 54.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Merrimack Warriors: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | @ ME | W 23-14 |
| 2026-09-03 | @ DEL | L 7-42 |
| 2026-08-28 | vs URI | L 7-34 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs FOR | W 27-26 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ SHU | L 37-42 |
Tarleton State Texans: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | @ MCN | W 27-24 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ BGSU | W 20-13 |
| 2026-08-29 | vs PV | W 49-30 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs VILL | L 21-26 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs UND | W 31-13 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
TAR players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Willis | Receiving Yards | 40+ receiving yards | 8 of 12 | 66.7% |
| B.J. Fleming | Receiving Yards | 40+ receiving yards | 12 of 18 | 66.7% |
| Kaden Anderson | Passing Yards | 150+ passing yards | 13 of 20 | 65% |
Questions about Merrimack Warriors at Tarleton State Texans
Which players in Merrimack Warriors at Tarleton State Texans clear their prop lines most often?
Marquis Willis has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 8 of his last 12 games (66.7%); B.J. Fleming has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 12 of his last 18 games (66.7%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these MRMK at TAR numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 19, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every College Football prop graded on this date: College Football player props, September 19, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Merrimack Warriors and Tarleton State Texans. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the College Football ATS Radar. Every College Football player at a glance: College Football player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.