Tarleton State Texans at Bowling Green Falcons: Betting Trends, Sep 5, 2026 (College Football)
The Tarleton State Texans beat the Bowling Green Falcons 20-13 on September 5, 2026. Marquis Willis has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 8 of the last 12 games (66.7%), the highest rate on either side. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: TAR 20, BGSU 13.
The posted line
At pinnacle as of September 5, 2026: BGSU -2, total 49.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Tarleton State Texans: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | @ MCN | W 27-24 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ BGSU | W 20-13 |
| 2026-08-30 | vs PV | W 49-30 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs VILL | L 21-26 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs UND | W 31-13 |
Bowling Green Falcons: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | @ NEB | L 7-56 |
| 2026-09-05 | vs TAR | L 13-20 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ MASS | W 45-14 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs AKR | L 16-19 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ EMU | L 21-27 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
TAR players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Willis | Receiving Yards | 40+ receiving yards | 8 of 12 | 66.7% |
| B.J. Fleming | Receiving Yards | 40+ receiving yards | 12 of 18 | 66.7% |
| Kaden Anderson | Passing Yards | 150+ passing yards | 13 of 20 | 65% |
BGSU players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke'Marion Baldwin | Rushing Yards | 40+ rushing yards | 7 of 14 | 50% |
Questions about Tarleton State Texans at Bowling Green Falcons
Which players in Tarleton State Texans at Bowling Green Falcons clear their prop lines most often?
Marquis Willis has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 8 of his last 12 games (66.7%); B.J. Fleming has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 12 of his last 18 games (66.7%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these TAR at BGSU numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every College Football prop graded on this date: College Football player props, September 5, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Tarleton State Texans and Bowling Green Falcons. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the College Football ATS Radar. Every College Football player at a glance: College Football player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.