Toledo Rockets at Michigan State Spartans: Betting Trends, Sep 4, 2026 (College Football)
The Michigan State Spartans beat the Toledo Rockets 30-20 on September 4, 2026. Rico Bond has cleared 2+ receptions in 14 of the last 14 games (100%), the highest rate on either side. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games or a line a book posted. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Final: TOL 20, MSU 30.
The posted line
At pinnacle as of September 4, 2026: MSU -10, total 48.5. A line is the number a book posted at that moment, shown as a fact about the market; it is not a forecast and it moves.
Toledo Rockets: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | vs CCSU | W 63-10 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ MSU | L 20-30 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ CMU | W 21-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs BALL | W 38-9 |
| 2025-11-13 | @ M-OH | W 24-3 |
Michigan State Spartans: last 5 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | vs EMU | W 35-7 |
| 2026-09-05 | vs TOL | W 30-20 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs MD | W 38-28 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ IOWA | L 17-20 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs PSU | L 10-28 |
Over each player's last 20 games, the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
TOL players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico Bond | Receptions | 2+ receptions | 14 of 14 | 100% |
| Kalvin Gilbert | Receptions | 2+ receptions | 11 of 11 | 100% |
| Kalvin Gilbert | Receiving Yards | 40+ receiving yards | 8 of 11 | 72.7% |
MSU players clearing their prop lines most often
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Edwards | Rushing Yards | 40+ rushing yards | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Cam Fancher | Passing Yards | 150+ passing yards | 5 of 12 | 41.7% |
| Alessio Milivojevic | Passing Yards | 150+ passing yards | 5 of 12 | 41.7% |
Questions about Toledo Rockets at Michigan State Spartans
Which players in Toledo Rockets at Michigan State Spartans clear their prop lines most often?
Rico Bond has cleared 2+ receptions in 14 of his last 14 games (100%); Kalvin Gilbert has cleared 2+ receptions in 11 of his last 11 games (100%), over each player's last 20 games at the lowest posted rung. Counts of games, not projections.
Are these TOL at MSU numbers picks?
No. Every figure is a count of settled games or a line a book posted, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. Previous meetings are finished regular-season games between the two teams. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line over that player's last 20 games. A posted line is one book's number on one day. Nothing here is a projection.
Every College Football prop graded on this date: College Football player props, September 4, 2026. Both teams' full pages: Toledo Rockets and Michigan State Spartans. The live board with every team and tonight's lines is the College Football ATS Radar. Every College Football player at a glance: College Football player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.