Gavin Nelson Prop Hit Rates (College Football)
Gavin Nelson has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 12 of his last 20 games (60%). Every figure on this page is a count of graded games over his last 20, shown beside the games it comes from. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Gavin Nelson Receiving Yards: how often each line was cleared
| 40+ receiving yards | 60+ receiving yards | 80+ receiving yards | 100+ receiving yards | 120+ receiving yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% 12 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
Gavin Nelson Receptions: how often each line was cleared
| 2+ receptions | 4+ receptions | 6+ receptions | 8+ receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
Last 20 games
| Date | Opp | Receiving Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | @ SJSU | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ WMU | 63 | 7 |
| 2026-09-05 | vs SHU | 89 | 8 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ TNTC | 35 | 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ NCAT | 35 | 3 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs UNH | 8 | 1 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ BRY | 8 | 1 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ EWU | 10 | 1 |
| 2025-10-24 | vs MONT | 60 | 4 |
| 2025-10-18 | vs STBK | 42 | 2 |
| 2025-10-11 | @ TOW | 44 | 4 |
| 2025-10-04 | vs DSU | 50 | 3 |
| 2025-09-20 | vs VILL | 19 | 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ CLT | 68 | 5 |
| 2025-09-06 | @ FOR | 64 | 5 |
| 2025-08-29 | @ COLG | 176 | 5 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ STBK | 74 | 3 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs VILL | 67 | 2 |
| 2024-11-02 | @ URI | -17 | 0 |
| 2024-10-26 | vs TOW | 133 | 9 |
Questions about Gavin Nelson's prop hit rates
How often has Gavin Nelson cleared 40+ receiving yards?
Gavin Nelson has cleared 40+ receiving yards in 12 of his last 20 College Football games (60%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 60+ receiving yards it is 9 of 20 (45%). Updated September 18, 2026.
How often has Gavin Nelson cleared 2+ receptions?
Gavin Nelson has cleared 2+ receptions in 14 of his last 20 College Football games (70%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 4+ receptions it is 9 of 20 (45%). Updated September 18, 2026.
Are Gavin Nelson's hit rates picks?
No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.
How are Gavin Nelson's prop hit rates measured?
From his graded game logs over his last 20 games. A line is cleared in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample for a rate to be published.
How these rates are measured
A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games with a value for the stat, listed in the table above so the arithmetic is checkable. Posted sportsbook lines are not used to compute the ladder. Where a closing line is shown, it is the main line the books had posted at close for that game (the rung priced closest to even at each book, the most common one across books), and the count against it leaves out games that landed on the line.
For tonight's posted lines and the live, filterable board, see College Football Hit Rate Sheets; for the full profile, charts and matchup tools, open Gavin Nelson in the app. MONM betting trends and prop hit rates. Every College Football player at a glance: College Football player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.