NFL Player Props, September 21, 2026: How the Posted Lines Cleared
On September 21, 2026, the over cleared the posted line in 717 of 2,080 graded NFL player props (34.5%) across 13 markets and 1 games. Every figure is a count of graded market outcomes, not a record of anyone's picks. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 22, 2026.
By market
Every graded over on the day, at every line any book posted. A prop clears when the player's box-score number finishes above the line; pushes and voids are left out. Each market links to its 90-day research page.
| Market | Graded overs | Cleared | Rate | Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| receiving yards | 770 | 276 | 35.8% | 16 |
| passing yards | 305 | 130 | 42.6% | 3 |
| rushing yards | 275 | 117 | 42.5% | 6 |
| rushing + receiving yards | 143 | 56 | 39.2% | 10 |
| receptions | 134 | 38 | 28.4% | 16 |
| longest reception | 114 | 40 | 35.1% | 16 |
| touchdowns | 79 | 5 | 6.3% | 22 |
| rush attempts | 69 | 19 | 27.5% | 6 |
| pass attempts | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 3 |
| pass completions | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 3 |
| passing + rushing yards | 43 | 1 | 2.3% | 3 |
| longest rush | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| passing touchdowns | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
The day's games
Players whose posted lines cleared most
Graded overs across every market and every posted line for the player that day, ranked by the number that cleared. A count of one day's outcomes, not a rating.
| Player | Cleared |
|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 150 of 207 |
| Davante Adams | 127 of 155 |
| Blake Corum | 88 of 146 |
| Kyren Williams | 86 of 178 |
| Darnell Mooney | 52 of 89 |
| Terrance Ferguson | 47 of 76 |
| Cam Skattebo | 36 of 140 |
| Malachi Fields | 26 of 72 |
| Isaiah Likely | 20 of 81 |
| Konata Mumpfield | 15 of 66 |
Questions
How often did NFL player prop overs clear on September 21, 2026?
In 717 of 2,080 graded overs (34.5%), at every line any book posted across 13 markets. A count of that day's graded outcomes, not a prediction.
Which NFL market cleared most often that day?
Passing yards: 130 of 305 graded overs (42.6%). The lowest was passing + rushing yards: 1 of 43 (2.3%). Higher lines clear less often by construction, so a market's rate depends on the lines the books chose to post.
Are these DataStreak picks?
No. Every row is a market outcome: a prop line a sportsbook posted, graded off the official box score by the data vendor, counted whether or not anyone bet it. DataStreak does not produce picks and this page is not a record of any.
How this is measured
The data vendor grades every player prop line a sportsbook posted against the official box score: over, under, push or void. This page counts the OVER side of every graded NFL line for games on this ET date, at every line any book posted, whether or not anyone bet it. Pushes and voids are excluded from both counts. No selection of DataStreak's is involved: this describes the market on one day, not anyone's picks. A rate is an outcome frequency at posted lines, never a probability for another day.
The 90-day view of each market is on its research page (linked in the table); every player at a glance is on the NFL player prop hit rates hub; the live board with tonight's lines is the NFL Hit Rate Sheets; the boards are explained in the methodology.