NFL Player Prop Hit Rates
How often each NFL player has cleared a given prop line, measured over their last 20 games. Every figure below is a count of games, not a projection: DataStreak does not produce picks.
Updated October 20, 2026. Players need at least 10 games in the sample to appear.
Jump to: Receiving Yards Rushing Yards Passing Yards Receptions
NFL Receiving Yards Prop Hit Rates
Across the 148 NFL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 20+ receiving yards was cleared in 1,952 of 2,783 player-games (70.1%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 20+ receiving yards | 40+ receiving yards | 60+ receiving yards | 80+ receiving yards | 100+ receiving yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | LAR | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 |
| Chris Olave | NO | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 |
| Nico Collins | HOU | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Trey McBride | ARI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Brock Bowers | LV | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 |
| Drake London | ATL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 |
| George Pickens | DAL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 |
| Mike Evans | SF | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Tee Higgins | CIN | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Rashee Rice | KC | 14 | 92.9% 13 of 14 | 78.6% 11 of 14 | 64.3% 9 of 14 | 57.1% 8 of 14 | 21.4% 3 of 14 |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Malik Nabers | NYG | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Zay Flowers | BAL | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| DK Metcalf | PIT | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Rome Odunze | CHI | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Tucker Kraft | GB | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Luther Burden III | CHI | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
NFL Rushing Yards Prop Hit Rates
Across the 113 NFL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 20+ rushing yards was cleared in 1,159 of 1,970 player-games (58.8%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 20+ rushing yards | 40+ rushing yards | 60+ rushing yards | 80+ rushing yards | 100+ rushing yards | 120+ rushing yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | BAL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Kyren Williams | LAR | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Javonte Williams | DAL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Breece Hall | NYJ | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| James Cook III | BUF | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Bucky Irving | TB | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Josh Jacobs | GB | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Tony Pollard | TEN | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 19 | 94.7% 18 of 19 | 63.2% 12 of 19 | 42.1% 8 of 19 | 26.3% 5 of 19 | 5.3% 1 of 19 | 0% 0 of 19 |
| Anthony Richardson Sr. | IND | 12 | 91.7% 11 of 12 | 58.3% 7 of 12 | 16.7% 2 of 12 | 0% 0 of 12 | 0% 0 of 12 | 0% 0 of 12 |
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Chase Brown | CIN | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Aaron Jones Sr. | MIN | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC | 16 | 87.5% 14 of 16 | 68.8% 11 of 16 | 31.2% 5 of 16 | 18.8% 3 of 16 | 6.2% 1 of 16 | 6.2% 1 of 16 |
| Kyle Monangai | CHI | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
NFL Passing Yards Prop Hit Rates
Across the 46 NFL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 150+ passing yards was cleared in 624 of 798 player-games (78.2%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 150+ passing yards | 200+ passing yards | 250+ passing yards | 300+ passing yards | 350+ passing yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | DET | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Matthew Stafford | LAR | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Dak Prescott | DAL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Drake Maye | NE | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| Caleb Williams | CHI | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Joe Burrow | CIN | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Josh Allen | BUF | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Daniel Jones | IND | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Kyler Murray | MIN | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 19 | 89.5% 17 of 19 | 84.2% 16 of 19 | 57.9% 11 of 19 | 21.1% 4 of 19 | 5.3% 1 of 19 |
| Mac Jones | SF | 16 | 87.5% 14 of 16 | 68.8% 11 of 16 | 37.5% 6 of 16 | 18.8% 3 of 16 | 0% 0 of 16 |
| Jordan Love | GB | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Brock Purdy | SF | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Baker Mayfield | TB | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Jayden Daniels | WSH | 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Joe Flacco | CIN | 19 | 84.2% 16 of 19 | 47.4% 9 of 19 | 36.8% 7 of 19 | 21.1% 4 of 19 | 10.5% 2 of 19 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 18 | 83.3% 15 of 18 | 66.7% 12 of 18 | 27.8% 5 of 18 | 11.1% 2 of 18 | 0% 0 of 18 |
| Sam Darnold | SEA | 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Bo Nix | DEN | 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
NFL Receptions Prop Hit Rates
Across the 151 NFL players with at least 10 games in the sample, 2+ receptions was cleared in 2,357 of 2,862 player-games (82.4%). The table lists the 25 highest clear rates at that line.
| Player | Team | GP | 2+ receptions | 4+ receptions | 6+ receptions | 8+ receptions | 10+ receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | LAR | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 |
| Trey McBride | ARI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Chris Olave | NO | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Rashee Rice | KC | 14 | 100% 14 of 14 | 92.9% 13 of 14 | 64.3% 9 of 14 | 28.6% 4 of 14 | 7.1% 1 of 14 |
| Michael Wilson | ARI | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 |
| Zay Flowers | BAL | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Nico Collins | HOU | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Tyler Warren | IND | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Stefon Diggs | WSH | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Chase Brown | CIN | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| DK Metcalf | PIT | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 55% 11 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Tucker Kraft | GB | 20 | 100% 20 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Malik Nabers | NYG | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 85% 17 of 20 | 65% 13 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Brock Bowers | LV | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 90% 18 of 20 | 45% 9 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
| Drake London | ATL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 30% 6 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| George Pickens | DAL | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
| Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | 20 | 95% 19 of 20 | 80% 16 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
How these rates are measured
Each column is a line. A player clears it in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games in the sample, which is shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable.
Rates come from graded game logs, never from a projection or a model. Lines that a sportsbook has posted are not used to compute anything on this page, which is why it publishes before books put prices up.
For the live, filterable version with tonight's posted lines and matchups, see the NFL Hit Rate Sheets, or read how the boards are built.
Questions about NFL prop hit rates
How often do NFL players clear 20+ receiving yards?
Over their last 20 games, NFL players cleared 20+ receiving yards in 1,952 of 2,783 player-games (70.1%), across the 148 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NFL player has cleared 20+ receiving yards most often?
Puka Nacua (LAR) tops the table at 20+ receiving yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NFL players clear 20+ rushing yards?
Over their last 20 games, NFL players cleared 20+ rushing yards in 1,159 of 1,970 player-games (58.8%), across the 113 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NFL player has cleared 20+ rushing yards most often?
Derrick Henry (BAL) tops the table at 20+ rushing yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NFL players clear 150+ passing yards?
Over their last 20 games, NFL players cleared 150+ passing yards in 624 of 798 player-games (78.2%), across the 46 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NFL player has cleared 150+ passing yards most often?
Jared Goff (DET) tops the table at 150+ passing yards: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
How often do NFL players clear 2+ receptions?
Over their last 20 games, NFL players cleared 2+ receptions in 2,357 of 2,862 player-games (82.4%), across the 151 players with at least 10 games in the sample. Updated October 20, 2026.
Which NFL player has cleared 2+ receptions most often?
Puka Nacua (LAR) tops the table at 2+ receptions: 20 of 20 games (100%) over the sample. A rate is a count of past games, not a prediction of the next one.
Are these NFL hit rates picks?
No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.
How are the NFL prop hit rates measured?
From graded game logs over each player's last 20 games. A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample to appear.
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