Justin Herbert Prop Hit Rates (NFL)
Justin Herbert has cleared 20+ rushing yards in 13 of his last 20 games (65%). Every figure on this page is a count of graded games over his last 20, shown beside the games it comes from. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 17, 2026.
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards: how often each line was cleared
| 20+ rushing yards | 40+ rushing yards | 60+ rushing yards | 80+ rushing yards | 100+ rushing yards | 120+ rushing yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% 13 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
Against the closing line the books posted, Justin Herbert cleared the rushing yards line in 3 of 5 games with a line (60%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.
Justin Herbert Passing Yards: how often each line was cleared
| 150+ passing yards | 200+ passing yards | 250+ passing yards | 300+ passing yards | 350+ passing yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% 17 of 20 | 60% 12 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
Against the closing line the books posted, Justin Herbert cleared the passing yards line in 1 of 5 games with a line (20%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.
Last 20 games
Under a value, the line is the closing main line the books had posted for that game, where the capture has one.
| Date | Opp | Rushing Yards | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | vs DEN | 54 line 24.5 | 121 line 199.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 40 line 20.5 | 189 line 199.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | @ BUF | 17 line 19.5 | 226 line 225.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | vs LV | 2 line 19.5 | 192 line 224.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ARI | 29 line 19.5 | 209 line 233.5 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ NE | 57 | 159 |
| 2025-12-27 | vs HOU | 37 | 236 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 42 | 300 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ KC | 0 | 210 |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 66 | 139 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 8 | 151 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 21 | 81 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 19 | 220 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 57 | 250 |
| 2025-10-23 | vs MIN | 62 | 227 |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 31 | 420 |
| 2025-10-12 | @ MIA | 2 | 264 |
| 2025-10-05 | vs WSH | 60 | 166 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NYG | 24 | 203 |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DEN | 6 | 300 |
Questions about Justin Herbert's prop hit rates
How often has Justin Herbert cleared 20+ rushing yards?
Justin Herbert has cleared 20+ rushing yards in 13 of his last 20 NFL games (65%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 40+ rushing yards it is 8 of 20 (40%). Updated October 17, 2026.
How often has Justin Herbert cleared his closing rushing yards line?
In 3 of 5 recent games with a posted rushing yards line (60%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.
How often has Justin Herbert cleared 150+ passing yards?
Justin Herbert has cleared 150+ passing yards in 17 of his last 20 NFL games (85%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 200+ passing yards it is 12 of 20 (60%). Updated October 17, 2026.
How often has Justin Herbert cleared his closing passing yards line?
In 1 of 5 recent games with a posted passing yards line (20%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.
Are Justin Herbert's hit rates picks?
No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.
How are Justin Herbert's prop hit rates measured?
From his graded game logs over his last 20 games. A line is cleared in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample for a rate to be published.
How these rates are measured
A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games with a value for the stat, listed in the table above so the arithmetic is checkable. Posted sportsbook lines are not used to compute the ladder. Where a closing line is shown, it is the main line the books had posted at close for that game (the rung priced closest to even at each book, the most common one across books), and the count against it leaves out games that landed on the line.
For tonight's posted lines and the live, filterable board, see NFL Hit Rate Sheets; for the full profile, charts and matchup tools, open Justin Herbert in the app. LAC betting trends and prop hit rates. Every NFL player at a glance: NFL player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.