← NFL player prop hit rates

Derrick Henry Prop Hit Rates (NFL)

BAL · RB · NFL

Derrick Henry has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 2 of his last 17 games (11.8%). Every figure on this page is a count of graded games over his last 20, shown beside the games it comes from. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 17, 2026.

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards: how often each line was cleared

20+ receiving yards40+ receiving yards60+ receiving yards80+ receiving yards100+ receiving yards
11.8%
2 of 17
5.9%
1 of 17
0%
0 of 17
0%
0 of 17
0%
0 of 17

Against the closing line the books posted, Derrick Henry cleared the receiving yards line in 2 of 4 games with a line (50%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards: how often each line was cleared

20+ rushing yards40+ rushing yards60+ rushing yards80+ rushing yards100+ rushing yards120+ rushing yards
100%
20 of 20
95%
19 of 20
85%
17 of 20
55%
11 of 20
45%
9 of 20
25%
5 of 20

Against the closing line the books posted, Derrick Henry cleared the rushing yards line in 2 of 4 games with a line (50%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.

Derrick Henry Receptions: how often each line was cleared

2+ receptions4+ receptions6+ receptions8+ receptions10+ receptions
35.3%
6 of 17
0%
0 of 17
0%
0 of 17
0%
0 of 17
0%
0 of 17

Against the closing line the books posted, Derrick Henry cleared the receptions line in 1 of 4 games with a line (25%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.

Last 20 games

Under a value, the line is the closing main line the books had posted for that game, where the capture has one.

DateOppReceiving YardsRushing YardsReceptions
2026-10-11@ ATL18
line 4.5
102
line 80.5
1
line 1.5
2026-10-04vs TEN6
line 7.5
73
line 97.5
2
line 1.5
2026-09-27@ DAL0
line 10.5
89
line 90.5
1
line 1.5
2026-09-20vs NO19683
2026-09-13@ IND19
line 6.5
144
line 79.5
1
line 1.5
2026-01-04@ PIT01260
2025-12-27@ GB216
2025-12-21vs NE128
2025-12-14@ CIN100
2025-12-07vs PIT8941
2025-11-27vs CIN44601
2025-11-23vs NYJ24642
2025-11-16@ CLE191032
2025-11-09@ MIN9753
2025-10-30@ MIA21191
2025-10-26vs CHI0710
2025-10-12vs LAR81221
2025-10-05vs HOU0330
2025-09-28@ KC16422
2025-09-22vs DET7501

Questions about Derrick Henry's prop hit rates

How often has Derrick Henry cleared 20+ receiving yards?

Derrick Henry has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 2 of his last 17 NFL games (11.8%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 40+ receiving yards it is 1 of 17 (5.9%). Updated October 17, 2026.

How often has Derrick Henry cleared his closing receiving yards line?

In 2 of 4 recent games with a posted receiving yards line (50%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.

How often has Derrick Henry cleared 20+ rushing yards?

Derrick Henry has cleared 20+ rushing yards in 20 of his last 20 NFL games (100%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 40+ rushing yards it is 19 of 20 (95%). Updated October 17, 2026.

How often has Derrick Henry cleared his closing rushing yards line?

In 2 of 4 recent games with a posted rushing yards line (50%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.

How often has Derrick Henry cleared 2+ receptions?

Derrick Henry has cleared 2+ receptions in 6 of his last 17 NFL games (35.3%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 4+ receptions it is 0 of 17 (0%). Updated October 17, 2026.

How often has Derrick Henry cleared his closing receptions line?

In 1 of 4 recent games with a posted receptions line (25%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.

Are Derrick Henry's hit rates picks?

No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.

How are Derrick Henry's prop hit rates measured?

From his graded game logs over his last 20 games. A line is cleared in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample for a rate to be published.

How these rates are measured

A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games with a value for the stat, listed in the table above so the arithmetic is checkable. Posted sportsbook lines are not used to compute the ladder. Where a closing line is shown, it is the main line the books had posted at close for that game (the rung priced closest to even at each book, the most common one across books), and the count against it leaves out games that landed on the line.

For tonight's posted lines and the live, filterable board, see NFL Hit Rate Sheets; for the full profile, charts and matchup tools, open Derrick Henry in the app. BAL betting trends and prop hit rates. Every NFL player at a glance: NFL player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.