Aaron Jones Sr. Prop Hit Rates (NFL)
Aaron Jones Sr. has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 19 games (52.6%). Every figure on this page is a count of graded games over his last 20, shown beside the games it comes from. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 13, 2026.
Aaron Jones Sr. Receiving Yards: how often each line was cleared
| 20+ receiving yards | 40+ receiving yards | 60+ receiving yards | 80+ receiving yards | 100+ receiving yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.6% 10 of 19 | 5.3% 1 of 19 | 0% 0 of 19 | 0% 0 of 19 | 0% 0 of 19 |
Against the closing line the books posted, Aaron Jones Sr. cleared the receiving yards line in 2 of 4 games with a line (50%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.
Aaron Jones Sr. Rushing Yards: how often each line was cleared
| 20+ rushing yards | 40+ rushing yards | 60+ rushing yards | 80+ rushing yards | 100+ rushing yards | 120+ rushing yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% 18 of 20 | 75% 15 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 20% 4 of 20 | 10% 2 of 20 | 0% 0 of 20 |
Against the closing line the books posted, Aaron Jones Sr. cleared the rushing yards line in 5 of 5 games with a line (100%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.
Aaron Jones Sr. Receptions: how often each line was cleared
| 2+ receptions | 4+ receptions | 6+ receptions | 8+ receptions | 10+ receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84.2% 16 of 19 | 26.3% 5 of 19 | 0% 0 of 19 | 0% 0 of 19 | 0% 0 of 19 |
Against the closing line the books posted, Aaron Jones Sr. cleared the receptions line in 3 of 4 games with a line (75%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.
Last 20 games
Under a value, the line is the closing main line the books had posted for that game, where the capture has one.
| Date | Opp | Receiving Yards | Rushing Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ NO | 4 line 20.5 | 113 line 70.5 | 3 line 2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | vs MIA | 34 line 19.5 | 94 line 65.5 | 4 line 3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | @ TB | 34 line 10.5 | 58 line 49.5 | 5 line 1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ CHI | line 14.5 | 105 line 49.5 | line 2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs GB | 0 line 14.5 | 40 line 29.5 | 0 line 2.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | vs DET | 10 | 53 | 3 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ NYG | 8 | 85 | 2 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DAL | 31 | 34 | 3 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs WSH | 0 | 76 | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ SEA | 22 | 3 | 4 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ GB | 16 | 41 | 3 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CHI | 11 | 70 | 3 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BAL | 22 | 47 | 3 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ DET | 20 | 78 | 2 |
| 2025-10-23 | @ LAC | 15 | 15 | 2 |
| 2025-09-14 | vs ATL | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | @ CHI | 44 | 23 | 3 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ DET | 30 | 45 | 5 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs GB | 30 | 47 | 4 |
| 2024-12-22 | @ SEA | 26 | 67 | 3 |
Questions about Aaron Jones Sr.'s prop hit rates
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. cleared 20+ receiving yards?
Aaron Jones Sr. has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 19 NFL games (52.6%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 40+ receiving yards it is 1 of 19 (5.3%). Updated October 13, 2026.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. cleared his closing receiving yards line?
In 2 of 4 recent games with a posted receiving yards line (50%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. cleared 20+ rushing yards?
Aaron Jones Sr. has cleared 20+ rushing yards in 18 of his last 20 NFL games (90%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 40+ rushing yards it is 15 of 20 (75%). Updated October 13, 2026.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. cleared his closing rushing yards line?
In 5 of 5 recent games with a posted rushing yards line (100%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. cleared 2+ receptions?
Aaron Jones Sr. has cleared 2+ receptions in 16 of his last 19 NFL games (84.2%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 4+ receptions it is 5 of 19 (26.3%). Updated October 13, 2026.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. cleared his closing receptions line?
In 3 of 4 recent games with a posted receptions line (75%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.
Are Aaron Jones Sr.'s hit rates picks?
No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.
How are Aaron Jones Sr.'s prop hit rates measured?
From his graded game logs over his last 20 games. A line is cleared in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample for a rate to be published.
How these rates are measured
A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games with a value for the stat, listed in the table above so the arithmetic is checkable. Posted sportsbook lines are not used to compute the ladder. Where a closing line is shown, it is the main line the books had posted at close for that game (the rung priced closest to even at each book, the most common one across books), and the count against it leaves out games that landed on the line.
For tonight's posted lines and the live, filterable board, see NFL Hit Rate Sheets; for the full profile, charts and matchup tools, open Aaron Jones Sr. in the app. MIN betting trends and prop hit rates. Every NFL player at a glance: NFL player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.