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NFL Player Props, October 12, 2026: How the Posted Lines Cleared

NFL · October 12, 2026 · graded market outcomes

On October 12, 2026, the over cleared the posted line in 1,460 of 3,216 graded NFL player props (45.4%) across 13 markets and 1 games. Every figure is a count of graded market outcomes, not a record of anyone's picks. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 13, 2026.

By market

Every graded over on the day, at every line any book posted. A prop clears when the player's box-score number finishes above the line; pushes and voids are left out. Each market links to its 90-day research page.

MarketGraded oversClearedRatePlayers
receiving yards1,19443236.2%15
rushing yards50924948.9%6
passing yards45623551.5%2
rushing + receiving yards30119364.1%10
passing + rushing yards16714486.2%2
receptions1395036%15
longest reception1234133.3%15
touchdowns1071312.1%44
rush attempts794253.2%5
pass completions472246.8%2
pass attempts462043.5%2
longest rush371540.5%4
passing touchdowns11436.4%2

The day's games

Players whose posted lines cleared most

Graded overs across every market and every posted line for the player that day, ranked by the number that cleared. A count of one day's outcomes, not a rating.

PlayerCleared
Matthew Stafford274 of 338
Josh Allen249 of 504
James Cook III233 of 429
Puka Nacua140 of 215
Ty Johnson106 of 140
Blake Corum91 of 249
Khalil Shakir90 of 140
Kyren Williams86 of 291
Tyler Higbee86 of 121
Davante Adams49 of 145

Questions

How often did NFL player prop overs clear on October 12, 2026?

In 1,460 of 3,216 graded overs (45.4%), at every line any book posted across 13 markets. A count of that day's graded outcomes, not a prediction.

Which NFL market cleared most often that day?

Passing + rushing yards: 144 of 167 graded overs (86.2%). The lowest was touchdowns: 13 of 107 (12.1%). Higher lines clear less often by construction, so a market's rate depends on the lines the books chose to post.

Are these DataStreak picks?

No. Every row is a market outcome: a prop line a sportsbook posted, graded off the official box score by the data vendor, counted whether or not anyone bet it. DataStreak does not produce picks and this page is not a record of any.

How this is measured

The data vendor grades every player prop line a sportsbook posted against the official box score: over, under, push or void. This page counts the OVER side of every graded NFL line for games on this ET date, at every line any book posted, whether or not anyone bet it. Pushes and voids are excluded from both counts. No selection of DataStreak's is involved: this describes the market on one day, not anyone's picks. A rate is an outcome frequency at posted lines, never a probability for another day.

The 90-day view of each market is on its research page (linked in the table); every player at a glance is on the NFL player prop hit rates hub; the live board with tonight's lines is the NFL Hit Rate Sheets; the boards are explained in the methodology.