Brian Thomas Jr. Prop Hit Rates (NFL)
Brian Thomas Jr. has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 18 of his last 20 games (90%). Every figure on this page is a count of graded games over his last 20, shown beside the games it comes from. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.
Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards: how often each line was cleared
| 20+ receiving yards | 40+ receiving yards | 60+ receiving yards | 80+ receiving yards | 100+ receiving yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% 18 of 20 | 70% 14 of 20 | 40% 8 of 20 | 35% 7 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 |
Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions: how often each line was cleared
| 2+ receptions | 4+ receptions | 6+ receptions | 8+ receptions | 10+ receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% 19 of 20 | 50% 10 of 20 | 25% 5 of 20 | 15% 3 of 20 | 5% 1 of 20 |
Last 20 games
| Date | Opp | Receiving Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | vs CLE | 40 | 3 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs BUF | 21 | 2 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs TEN | 49 | 3 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ IND | 39 | 4 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DEN | 18 | 2 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs NYJ | 66 | 4 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs IND | 87 | 3 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TEN | 28 | 2 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ LV | 55 | 3 |
| 2025-10-19 | vs LAR | 31 | 3 |
| 2025-10-12 | vs SEA | 90 | 8 |
| 2025-10-06 | vs KC | 80 | 4 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ SF | 49 | 5 |
| 2025-09-21 | vs HOU | 55 | 2 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ CIN | 49 | 4 |
| 2025-09-07 | vs CAR | 11 | 1 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ IND | 103 | 7 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs TEN | 91 | 7 |
| 2024-12-22 | @ LV | 132 | 9 |
| 2024-12-15 | vs NYJ | 105 | 10 |
How these rates are measured
A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games with a value for the stat, listed in the table above so the arithmetic is checkable. Posted sportsbook lines are not used to compute anything here.
For tonight's posted lines and the live, filterable board, see NFL Hit Rate Sheets; for the full profile, charts and matchup tools, open Brian Thomas Jr. in the app. JAX betting trends and prop hit rates. Every NFL player at a glance: NFL player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.