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Darren Waller Prop Hit Rates (NFL)

CAR · TE · NFL

Darren Waller has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 15 of his last 20 games (75%). Every figure on this page is a count of graded games over his last 20, shown beside the games it comes from. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 23, 2026.

Darren Waller Receiving Yards: how often each line was cleared

20+ receiving yards40+ receiving yards60+ receiving yards80+ receiving yards100+ receiving yards
75%
15 of 20
50%
10 of 20
15%
3 of 20
5%
1 of 20
0%
0 of 20

Against the closing line the books posted, Darren Waller cleared the receiving yards line in 3 of 5 games with a line (60%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.

Darren Waller Receptions: how often each line was cleared

2+ receptions4+ receptions6+ receptions8+ receptions10+ receptions
80%
16 of 20
40%
8 of 20
10%
2 of 20
0%
0 of 20
0%
0 of 20

Against the closing line the books posted, Darren Waller cleared the receptions line in 3 of 5 games with a line (60%); pushes are left out. Each game's line is under its value in the games table.

Last 20 games

Under a value, the line is the closing main line the books had posted for that game, where the capture has one.

DateOppReceiving YardsReceptions
2026-10-18@ PHI0
line 24.5
0
line 2.5
2026-10-04vs DET36
line 37.5
3
line 3.5
2026-09-27@ CLE51
line 20.5
5
line 2.5
2026-09-20@ ATL33
line 16.5
3
line 1.5
2026-09-13vs CHI28
line 16.5
2
line 1.5
2025-12-28vs TB01
2025-12-21vs CIN403
2025-12-15@ PIT667
2025-12-07@ NYJ131
2025-11-30vs NO472
2025-10-12vs LAC122
2025-10-05@ CAR785
2025-09-29vs NYJ273
2024-01-07vs PHI455
2023-12-31vs LAR515
2023-12-25@ PHI322
2023-12-17@ NO404
2023-10-29vs NYJ41
2023-10-22vs WSH987
2023-10-15@ BUF435

Questions about Darren Waller's prop hit rates

How often has Darren Waller cleared 20+ receiving yards?

Darren Waller has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 15 of his last 20 NFL games (75%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 40+ receiving yards it is 10 of 20 (50%). Updated October 23, 2026.

How often has Darren Waller cleared his closing receiving yards line?

In 3 of 5 recent games with a posted receiving yards line (60%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.

How often has Darren Waller cleared 2+ receptions?

Darren Waller has cleared 2+ receptions in 16 of his last 20 NFL games (80%), counted from the graded game logs listed on this page. At 4+ receptions it is 8 of 20 (40%). Updated October 23, 2026.

How often has Darren Waller cleared his closing receptions line?

In 3 of 5 recent games with a posted receptions line (60%), the line being the main number the books had up at close for that game; pushes are left out. A count of past games at the lines that were posted, not a prediction of the next one.

Are Darren Waller's hit rates picks?

No. Each figure is a count of graded games divided by the games in the sample, shown beside it so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened over a stated window.

How are Darren Waller's prop hit rates measured?

From his graded game logs over his last 20 games. A line is cleared in a game when the stat reaches that number. Posted sportsbook lines are not used in the computation, and a player needs at least 10 games in the sample for a rate to be published.

How these rates are measured

A player clears a line in a game when the stat reaches that number, so "1+ hits" counts every game with one or more hits. The percentage is that count divided by the games with a value for the stat, listed in the table above so the arithmetic is checkable. Posted sportsbook lines are not used to compute the ladder. Where a closing line is shown, it is the main line the books had posted at close for that game (the rung priced closest to even at each book, the most common one across books), and the count against it leaves out games that landed on the line.

For tonight's posted lines and the live, filterable board, see NFL Hit Rate Sheets; for the full profile, charts and matchup tools, open Darren Waller in the app. CAR betting trends and prop hit rates. Every NFL player at a glance: NFL player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.