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Buffalo Bills Betting Trends and Prop Hit Rates (NFL)

BUF · NFL

Dalton Kincaid has cleared 20+ receiving yards in 18 of his last 20 games (90%), the highest rate on the Buffalo Bills. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.

Last 10 games

DateOppResult
2026-09-18vs DETW 41-31
2026-09-13@ HOUW 36-31
2026-01-04vs NYJW 35-8
2025-12-28vs PHIL 12-13
2025-12-21@ CLEW 23-20
2025-12-14@ NEW 35-31
2025-12-07vs CINW 39-34
2025-11-30@ PITW 26-7
2025-11-21@ HOUL 19-23
2025-11-16vs TBW 44-32

BUF players clearing their prop lines most often

Over each player's last 20 games, the BUF players with the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.

PlayerMarketLineClearedRate
Dalton KincaidReceiving Yards20+ receiving yards18 of 2090%
Khalil ShakirReceiving Yards20+ receiving yards16 of 2080%
DJ MooreReceiving Yards20+ receiving yards13 of 1968.4%
James Cook IIIRushing Yards20+ rushing yards19 of 2095%
Josh AllenRushing Yards20+ rushing yards17 of 2085%
Ray DavisRushing Yards20+ rushing yards3 of 1127.3%
Josh AllenPassing Yards150+ passing yards17 of 2085%
Khalil ShakirReceptions2+ receptions17 of 2085%
Dalton KincaidReceptions2+ receptions17 of 2085%
Keon ColemanReceptions2+ receptions15 of 2075%

How these numbers are measured

A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line, over that player's last 20 games. Nothing here is a projection.

The live version, with every team and tonight's lines, is the NFL ATS Radar; the team's full profile, schedule and matchup tools are in Buffalo Bills in the app. Every NFL player at a glance: NFL player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.