Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends and Prop Hit Rates (NHL)
The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the spread in 7 of 13 games (53.8%) in the 2026-27 season. Every figure on this page is a count of settled games. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated November 2, 2026.
Tampa Bay Lightning against the spread, 2026-27 season
Covered in 7 of 13 games (53.8%). A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread.
| Split | Covers | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7 of 13 | 53.8% |
| Home | 4 of 6 | 66.7% |
| Road | 3 of 7 | 42.9% |
| Last 10 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | @ NSH | L 4-5 |
| 2026-10-29 | vs WPG | W 6-4 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ UTA | L 4-5 |
| 2026-10-23 | @ COL | L 3-6 |
| 2026-10-20 | @ VGK | W 6-2 |
| 2026-10-17 | vs VAN | W 4-2 |
| 2026-10-15 | vs SEA | W 4-3 |
| 2026-10-13 | @ NYR | L 1-4 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ NYI | W 5-3 |
| 2026-10-08 | vs MIN | W 3-2 |
TBL players clearing their prop lines most often
Over each player's last 20 games, the TBL players with the highest clear rate at the lowest posted rung of each market. Counts of games, not projections; each name opens the player's own page.
| Player | Market | Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel | Shots On Goal | 1+ shots on goal | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Nikita Kucherov | Shots On Goal | 1+ shots on goal | 20 of 20 | 100% |
| Jake Guentzel | Shots On Goal | 1+ shots on goal | 18 of 20 | 90% |
| Brandon Hagel | Points | 1+ points | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Nikita Kucherov | Points | 1+ points | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Jake Guentzel | Points | 1+ points | 14 of 20 | 70% |
| Brandon Hagel | Goals | 1+ goals | 9 of 20 | 45% |
| Jake Guentzel | Goals | 1+ goals | 8 of 20 | 40% |
| Dominic James | Goals | 1+ goals | 5 of 20 | 25% |
| Nikita Kucherov | Assists | 1+ assists | 11 of 20 | 55% |
| Jake Guentzel | Assists | 1+ assists | 9 of 20 | 45% |
| Brandon Hagel | Assists | 1+ assists | 8 of 20 | 40% |
Questions about the Tampa Bay Lightning
How often have the Tampa Bay Lightning covered the spread this season?
The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered in 7 of 13 games (53.8%) in the 2026-27 season: 4 of 6 at home and 3 of 7 on the road, 5 of 10 over the last 10. A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; pushes are left out of the rate.
How have the Tampa Bay Lightning done in their last 10 games?
6-4 over the last 10 regular-season games, most recently a loss 4-5 at NSH on October 31, 2026.
Which TBL player clears his prop line most often?
Brandon Hagel has cleared 1+ shots on goal in 20 of his last 20 games (100%), the highest rate on the Tampa Bay Lightning at the lowest posted rung of any market over the last 20 games.
Are these Tampa Bay Lightning numbers picks?
No. Each figure is a count of settled games, shown with the games it comes from so the arithmetic is checkable. DataStreak does not produce picks; the page reports what has happened this season. Updated November 2, 2026.
Tampa Bay Lightning games this week
- Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning, Oct 29
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators, Oct 31
- Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning, Nov 3
- Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning, Nov 5
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild, Nov 7
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets, Nov 8
How these numbers are measured
A cover is a settled game where the final margin beat the closing spread; a push is a margin that landed on it. The prop rates count the games in which a player's stat reached the line, over that player's last 20 games. Nothing here is a projection.
The live version, with every team and tonight's lines, is the NHL ATS Radar; the team's full profile, schedule and matchup tools are in Tampa Bay Lightning in the app. Every NHL player at a glance: NHL player prop hit rates, or read how the boards are built.