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Buffalo Bills 2026 Win Total 10.5: Over or Under?

July 15, 2026 · NFL · 5:31

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The Buffalo Bills 2026 win total is set at 10.5 wins.

Is this team going OVER or UNDER that number?

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Joe Brady takes over as head coach with a retooled roster.

DJ Moore joins the receiving corps alongside Keon Coleman.

Bradley Chubb and CJ Gardner-Johnson come in to help the defense.

Connor McGovern, Taran Johnson, Curtis Samuel, Dane Johnson, and Taylor Rapp are all gone.

The schedule is brutal. Lions, Ravens, Chiefs, Packers, Bears, and Broncos are all on the slate.
Even the middle tier games against the Chargers, Patriots, Rams, Raiders, Dolphins, and Jets aren't gimmes. The Texans and Vikings are the only games that feel safe.J

osh Allen can cover a lot of holes but 11 wins against this schedule is asking too much.

What I Cover:
Joe Brady's first year and what changes
Receiving corps: DJ Moore, Keon Coleman, and Dalton Kincaid
Defensive pieces: Chubb, Oliver, Milano, Bernard
Schedule gauntlet and winnable game count
Final Over or Under verdict

This is Part 4 of my 32-team NFL Win Total series.

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Video description as published on the DataStreak YouTube channel. DataStreak is an analytics platform and does not produce picks; the boards in the video are the ones the site publishes every morning. 21+.

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