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Dallas Cowboys 2026 Win Total 9.5: Over or Under?

July 25, 2026 · NFL · 4:41

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The Dallas Cowboys 2026 win total is set at 9.5 wins.

Is this team going OVER or UNDER that number?

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Dak Prescott is a top 10 quarterback. Not top three, not top five, but close enough to win with. The offense has weapons. Cee Dee Lamb is a top five receiver in the league. George Pickens is a problem when he's locked in. Jake Ferguson is a reliable option over the middle. Javonte Williams caught fire after the trade from Denver and looks like a great fit in this backfield.

The Micah Parsons trade was the biggest headline of the Cowboys offseason. In return they got Rashawn Gary for a fourth rounder and signed Jaylen Thompson to a three-year deal. Solomon Thomas was the quieter loss that hurts more than people realize. Caleb Downs fell to them in the draft and should be an immediate contributor. Kenny Clark, Queen Williams, Don Bland, Malik Hooker, and Kobe Durant round out a defense that should be solid.

Brandon Aubrey is the best kicker in football. In a season where a few games will come down to the wire, that matters.

The schedule isn't a cakewalk but the Cowboys have enough talent on both sides of the ball to stack wins. Ten wins is on the table. The pick is OVER at +105.

What I Cover:
Dak Prescott: where he ranks among NFL quarterbacks
Cee Dee Lamb, George Pickens, and the skill group
Javonte Williams fit in the backfield
Micah Parsons trade fallout and defensive replacements
Caleb Downs and the rookie draft class
Brandon Aubrey: the best kicker in the game
Schedule breakdown and path to 10 wins
Final Over or Under verdict

This is Part 9 of my 32-team NFL Win Total series.

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Video description as published on the DataStreak YouTube channel. DataStreak is an analytics platform and does not produce picks; the boards in the video are the ones the site publishes every morning. 21+.

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