Lions vs Bills Player Props, Picks and Predictions | TNF NFL Week 2

All right, diving into the Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills Thursday night match up. This is going to be a fun one. This is going to be the first game at the Bills new stadium, the first home regular season game. So, we're going to dive right in, get into some player props. I'm going to cover player props in this as well as the teams. So, Buffalo right now is minus four and a half. They are the favorite. Total is set at 53 and a half, which is a high total. I think we will see a high-scoring game, and that is a lot due to these defenses. Both defenses gave up a lot of points in week one. Both gave up 30 points or more in week one, and the Lions secondary this season is going to struggle.

We've seen the Lions secondary be pretty solid in the past, but we got to remember they lost Jerry on Arnold, their cornerback, had off-the-field issues. They got rid of him. They have Kirby Joseph as well as Brian Branch out with injury. So, their secondary is beat up or missing this year, some of their players from last year. So, Detroit, there's not a lot of questions about their offense, but their defense has some question marks, as well as the Bills side, too. They're switching around their defense. I believe they went from a 4-3 to a 3-4 defense, so they're still adjusting to everything there.

So, we could very well see a high-scoring game. Now, with the Bills new stadium, it is not a dome. It's like an It's an open stadium, so the top is open, but the wind is going to be less of a factor even looking at the weather. The The weather's not going to be a factor. 64° and gusts at 3 mph. So, not a big deal. And I'm doing all my research here on Data Streak. That is where I do all my player prop and team research. If you want to check it out, link is down below. Both teams gave up over 30 points week one. Crazy thing here, total yards against, Detroit gave up over 500 501 total yards in week one, which is crazy.

I think that's going to be a consistent trend this year. They're going to have issues with their defense, and Buffalo gave up 398 yards. So, both teams gave up a lot, but they both had have good offenses this year. So, 371 yards for Detroit, Buffalo 420 yards. And when we look at the public betting, uh looking at the public betting is often a good look. Majority of the tickets are actually on Detroit as of right now. 74% of the tickets are on Detroit, but the money is on Buffalo, 67%. In this game, given the whole situation, especially with the Lions defense, and the big factor is this is going to be a high game.

We know Bills fans are crazy, and it's going to be in their new stadium. So, I very well could see Buffalo winning this game. I like Buffalo if you're going to play them on the money line, or even the minus four and a half, but I like a minus two and a half alternative line. Maybe mix it with some player props, and I'll give you some ideas on player props in this one. But so, here we're able to see how these players have played against the teams they're facing. So, Jared Goff, it's crazy. He's averaged Now, it's only through two games, but it's he's averaging 48 attempts a game in those two games.

He his last game versus the Bills a couple years ago, he had like 59 attempts, which is crazy. 367 total yards. Now, do I think he'll have that many attempts this game? I don't think so, but very well could be the case. Uh Jahmyr Gibbs versus Buffalo, only one game, but uh he he did not have great stats. Only 31 rushing yards in that game. He only had eight carries. Uh I'd have to check if he was injured. I'm not worried about Jahmyr Gibbs this year. Uh they are going to run a lot of the offense through Jahmyr Gibbs. Dan Campbell's already came out and said that, and Isaiah Pacheco is on the IR.

Gibbs' backup coming into the season only had two career carries. So, a lot of the offense is going to run through Gibbs. St. Brown as well. Jared Goff, we'll pull up his chart. If if you can get Jared Goff around like 225 passing yards on an alt, he's pretty consistent with that. These are his road games. So, his last 10 road games, seven of 10. Obviously, we're we're new season, but given this defense, I think they are going to be giving up points and they're going to have to put up a lot of points to stay in games. I think the Lions will be fine this year. It's going to rely on them putting up points.

Another player that I'm going to be looking at in this one is, of course, Jahmyr Gibbs. Uh we can pull him up. I don't love taking Jahmyr Gibbs for just rushing yards or just receiving yards. I like doing rushing and receiving yards combined. So, when we look at his uh last 10 games, his totals in this game is set higher. It's right around 120. Uh so, when we look here, he has not cleared those numbers. He didn't clear it in week one at the Bears, but I do think he's going to put up a lot of rushing and receiving yards. So, if you can get him like an alternate 100 at decent odds or even a 110 rushing and receiving, I think he will clear it this game.

Well, one of my favorite players to bet on on the Lions offense. And this is why having a website like Data Streak is great to be able to do your research on these players cuz Amon-Ra St. Brown, if we look at his receiving yards, they're kind of all up and down. But, if we look at his receptions, he's very consistent. He has a very consistent floor on receptions. So, taking him at five, even six receptions, these are his road games. If we want to go overall, he had a game where he didn't have any. I believe that was his injury game. So, he's been stronger at home than he's still been solid on the road.

So, I mean, I like him for at least five receptions. I'm comfortable cuz they're going to have to move the ball on offense. I like him at six, even seven receptions. At seven receptions, he's hit that in seven of his last 10 games. And for receptions, the Bills here, they're ranked 29th of 32. Now, that is only through week one. So, not a huge sample size there, but they did uh struggle on defense in in week one. Josh Allen had a monstrous week one, 334 passing yards In two career games versus Detroit, he's had an average of 307 passing yards. So, I do like that. I love that they brought in DJ Moore.

He had a five receptions for 100 yards and a touchdown in week one. So, I think DJ Moore is going to be their guy on offense, the receiver they go to a lot. So, looking at Josh Allen, another player I'll be looking at, uh his home games last year. So, if we look at home compared to to the road, the road he was just kind of inconsistent. He was up and down. He had 123, 130, 163. He had some down games, but if you look at his home games for passing yards. So, Josh Allen, I mean, even if you take him at 225 passing yards, he's hit it his last five straight home games. And if you bring that down, and if you want to see what I'm playing, I'll be playing it in the Dub Club, so you can check the link below.

50% off your first month, you can get all of my plays um that I will be playing in this game. So, yeah, Josh Allen at home, 200 passing yards is pretty safe. If we look at his last 20 games, even 15 games at home, yeah. His last 15, he's 12 of 15. His last 20, even though that's going back, 14 of 20. But, yeah, Josh Allen at home for 200 yards is pretty safe. And Dalton Kincaid went off in week one. Five receptions for 130 yards. So, I think they'll be using him, but the thing to watch with these receivers, they do like to get these tight ends, they do like to get Dawson Knox involved. I know last week he only had one target, but they do like getting both tight ends involved.

So, I'm not a huge fan of betting their tight ends always. Can be a little unpredictable. But, James Cook had only 57 rushing yards, 13 carries in week one versus Detroit. He averaged 54.5 yards through two games. Let's take a look at James Cook. So, James Cook on the road, if we look, let's just look at his last 10 games on the road. He actually does better on the road than he does at home. Kind of all over the place, home and road. Now this game right here where he only had 15 is kind of an outlier game because they didn't need to win that game. They rested their starters cuz it was right before the playoffs.

But if we if we look at him for about 50 yards, he should be be close. I mean, he's almost every game he's gotten there. The games he's missed were within five to six yards. So James Cook for 50 rushing yards isn't a bad look. Khalil Shakir is another player I like to look at for receptions. I don't love him for yards, even though he's been okay. But if we look at his receptions, for about four plus receptions, his home games, let's compare that to the road. So even home and road, but at home, if we bring this up to four and a half receptions or four receptions to three and a half, he's hit it in six of his last 10, but here he's hit it in was that five?

Six of his last eight. In Detroit, no surprise here. So far through one game, they're worst in the league, but I think that's going to continue. I think they are going to be one of the worst defenses when it comes to stopping the pass. So Shakir for four receptions or so is definitely look is worth a look. Um look at the odds here at the bottom. FanDuel minus 225. So I mean, if you throw in him for even what's what's it at if we tease it down to three, still bettable if you're going to take a few different player props and pair them together, I don't mind it. He is going to be involved. Jameson Williams, I like Jameson Williams, but he's a little bit unpredictable.

His yards are all over the place. If you're taking a flyer on a guy and want him to go off, you can, but I mean, look at this. I mean, some games he does nothing and then some games he goes absolutely off. These are his home games, but let's just look overall his last 20 games. It's all over the place. So these These the type of players I don't love to bet. Like he could go absolutely off or he could just have a dud of a game. So if you're playing straight bet on him, it wouldn't be a bad idea if you were taking a flyer for him to have like 90 receiving yards or even 100 receiving yards for a little lotto play.

But in terms of the players I like to bet, I like betting players that have really solid floors. And Jameson Williams just really doesn't. Uh even if you look at his receptions, they're kind of all over the place, although he has been consistent over his last uh chunk of games. He's just a player that I like. I think he's a good player. He's just not always the most consistent player to bet on. And Sam Laporta, we'll hit on him. So last week he had five receptions, 48 yards. He had that crazy rookie year and he hasn't done much since. But versus Buffalo in one game, one career game, he had 111 yards, seven receptions, 10 targets.

Like I said, this is going to be high-scoring. So if you can get him at, you know, 25 yards, he's hit that in 17 of his last 20 games overall. Let's check him on the road. Yeah, 17 of his last 20 on the road as well. But even taking him at receptions, I don't I don't mind it. Yeah, so it four receptions is about minus 230. Yeah, and he's hit that in seven straight. So Laporta is not a bad look either if you're looking at receptions. But yeah, I do like player props in this game. I think it is going to be a high-scoring game. So player props are definitely worth a look in this one. And then if I'm picking sides, I got to roll with Buffalo in this one in the home opener at their new stadium.

The hype is going to be real. And so yeah, I'm going to have to roll roll with uh roll with Buffalo if I take a side. And I'm going to be diving even deeper into player props, doing extra research on those. So if you want what I'm going to play, I gave you a good idea of some good things to look at. But if you want what I'm going to play, you can check the link down below for the Dub Club. Literally 50% off. You can get in your first month for $19.99, which is one of the most affordable groups around uh for that price for everything that you get. And if you want to check out Data Streak, the link down below is in the description as well.

I will see you all in the next video. If you enjoyed or this helped out, smack that like button. It really does help out. And subscribe because I'm going to be doing this for the Thursday night games. I'm going to be doing them for the games on Sunday, the whole Sunday slate, be doing some Monday Night Football stuff. We're going to do all that all football season. So, make sure you are tapped in. And yeah, let me know in the comments who you got. You got the Lions or you got the Bills? And who you think covers the spread? See you in the next video.

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