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Miami Dolphins 2026 Win Total 3.5: Over or Under?

August 16, 2026 · NFL · 3:57

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Three and a half wins is already one of the lowest totals on the board. The Dolphins still go under it.

Malik Willis was the big offseason signing. He got a pretty big contract, and he has shown flashes. The problem is the rest of the roster. Tua's contract situation has hamstrung the team. The offensive line is terrible. Devon Achane is a good running back, but the receiving corps Tutu Atwell, Jaylen Tolbert is nothing to write home about.

On defense, the unit as a whole is not great. This is a rough roster from top to bottom.

The schedule breakdown landed at one win. Maybe two if the Raiders game flips. That is it. The Jets at home is the only game I feel comfortable calling a win. Every other matchup is a loss on paper. Under 3.5 at +120 is the value side.

What This Video Covers:
Malik Willis signing and what it means at quarterback
Tua's contract situation and roster limitations
Devon Achane, Tutu Atwell, and the offensive weapons
Chop Robinson and the defensive outlook
Full 17-game schedule breakdown — only 1-2 projected wins
Why under 3.5 at +120 is the pick

This is Part 19 of my 32-team NFL Win Total series.

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Video description as published on the DataStreak YouTube channel. DataStreak is an analytics platform and does not produce picks; the boards in the video are the ones the site publishes every morning. 21+.

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