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NFL Player Props, October 11, 2026: How the Posted Lines Cleared

NFL · October 11, 2026 · graded market outcomes

On October 11, 2026, the over cleared the posted line in 9,152 of 29,241 graded NFL player props (31.3%) across 13 markets and 13 games. Every figure is a count of graded market outcomes, not a record of anyone's picks. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated October 12, 2026.

By market

Every graded over on the day, at every line any book posted. A prop clears when the player's box-score number finishes above the line; pushes and voids are left out. Each market links to its 90-day research page.

MarketGraded oversClearedRatePlayers
receiving yards9,6792,80028.9%177
rushing yards4,8151,36828.4%82
passing yards4,2911,42233.1%26
passing + rushing yards1,90589446.9%26
rushing + receiving yards1,86972939%109
receptions1,53848231.3%177
longest reception1,26943534.3%170
touchdowns1,234786.3%488
rush attempts93731233.3%79
pass completions55519435%26
pass attempts53722742.3%26
longest rush47017036.2%78
passing touchdowns1424128.9%26

The day's games

Players whose posted lines cleared most

Graded overs across every market and every posted line for the player that day, ranked by the number that cleared. A count of one day's outcomes, not a rating.

PlayerCleared
Trevor Lawrence276 of 372
Jordan Love239 of 326
Jameis Winston239 of 272
Michael Penix Jr.223 of 374
Drake Maye222 of 314
Jayden Daniels219 of 366
Jahmyr Gibbs213 of 298
Jaylen Warren189 of 280
Jacoby Brissett181 of 336
Daniel Jones163 of 347

Questions

How often did NFL player prop overs clear on October 11, 2026?

In 9,152 of 29,241 graded overs (31.3%), at every line any book posted across 13 markets. A count of that day's graded outcomes, not a prediction.

Which NFL market cleared most often that day?

Passing + rushing yards: 894 of 1,905 graded overs (46.9%). The lowest was touchdowns: 78 of 1,234 (6.3%). Higher lines clear less often by construction, so a market's rate depends on the lines the books chose to post.

Are these DataStreak picks?

No. Every row is a market outcome: a prop line a sportsbook posted, graded off the official box score by the data vendor, counted whether or not anyone bet it. DataStreak does not produce picks and this page is not a record of any.

How this is measured

The data vendor grades every player prop line a sportsbook posted against the official box score: over, under, push or void. This page counts the OVER side of every graded NFL line for games on this ET date, at every line any book posted, whether or not anyone bet it. Pushes and voids are excluded from both counts. No selection of DataStreak's is involved: this describes the market on one day, not anyone's picks. A rate is an outcome frequency at posted lines, never a probability for another day.

The 90-day view of each market is on its research page (linked in the table); every player at a glance is on the NFL player prop hit rates hub; the live board with tonight's lines is the NFL Hit Rate Sheets; the boards are explained in the methodology.