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MLB Player Props, September 16, 2026: How the Posted Lines Cleared

MLB · September 16, 2026 · graded market outcomes

On September 16, 2026, the over cleared the posted line in 2,779 of 15,247 graded MLB player props (18.2%) across 15 markets and 15 games. Every figure is a count of graded market outcomes, not a record of anyone's picks. DataStreak does not produce picks. Updated September 18, 2026.

By market

Every graded over on the day, at every line any book posted. A prop clears when the player's box-score number finishes above the line; pushes and voids are left out. Each market links to its 90-day research page.

MarketGraded oversClearedRatePlayers
total bases2,70347417.5%302
hits + runs + RBIs2,58853920.8%303
hits2,42058124%304
RBIs2,10223511.2%304
home runs1,010353.5%305
runs scored1,00614314.2%302
singles83419323.1%302
stolen bases499336.6%277
walks47610922.9%293
doubles3775314.1%303
pitcher strikeouts34714341.2%30
triples32661.8%301
hits allowed1998542.7%30
outs recorded1828446.2%30
earned runs allowed1786637.1%30

The day's games

Players whose posted lines cleared most

Graded overs across every market and every posted line for the player that day, ranked by the number that cleared. A count of one day's outcomes, not a rating.

PlayerCleared
Pete Crow-Armstrong40 of 65
Ronald Acuña Jr.38 of 104
Heriberto Hernández38 of 79
Alex Bregman35 of 58
Mauricio Dubón33 of 67
Christian Encarnacion-Strand32 of 53
Ethan Salas30 of 54
Jeremy Peña29 of 79
José Ramírez26 of 79
Jakob Marsee26 of 56

Questions

How often did MLB player prop overs clear on September 16, 2026?

In 2,779 of 15,247 graded overs (18.2%), at every line any book posted across 15 markets. A count of that day's graded outcomes, not a prediction.

Which MLB market cleared most often that day?

Outs recorded: 84 of 182 graded overs (46.2%). The lowest was triples: 6 of 326 (1.8%). Higher lines clear less often by construction, so a market's rate depends on the lines the books chose to post.

Are these DataStreak picks?

No. Every row is a market outcome: a prop line a sportsbook posted, graded off the official box score by the data vendor, counted whether or not anyone bet it. DataStreak does not produce picks and this page is not a record of any.

How this is measured

The data vendor grades every player prop line a sportsbook posted against the official box score: over, under, push or void. This page counts the OVER side of every graded MLB line for games on this ET date, at every line any book posted, whether or not anyone bet it. Pushes and voids are excluded from both counts. No selection of DataStreak's is involved: this describes the market on one day, not anyone's picks. A rate is an outcome frequency at posted lines, never a probability for another day.

The 90-day view of each market is on its research page (linked in the table); every player at a glance is on the MLB player prop hit rates hub; the live board with tonight's lines is the MLB Hit Rate Sheets; the boards are explained in the methodology.